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Decreasing Yield Curves in a Model with an Unknown Constant Growth Rate

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  • Frank Riedel

Abstract

The effect of incomplete information on the term structure of interest rates is examined in the framework of a pure exchange economy under uncertainty where aggregate output grows at a constant rate. If the growth rate is known, the term structure is flat. In contrast, the term structure is a decreasing curve when agents do not know the growth rate. Long term yields are less than the short rate and the yield of long term bonds is determined by the worst possible realizations of future short rates. JEL classification codes: D5, D9, E4, G1.

Suggested Citation

  • Frank Riedel, 2000. "Decreasing Yield Curves in a Model with an Unknown Constant Growth Rate," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 4(1), pages 51-67.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:revfin:v:4:y:2000:i:1:p:51-67.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1023/A:1009833908681
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Lundtofte, Frederik, 2008. "Expected life-time utility and hedging demands in a partially observable economy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 52(6), pages 1072-1096, August.
    2. Constantin Mellios, 2007. "Interest rate options valuation under incomplete information," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 99-117, April.
    3. Frederik Lundtofte, 2013. "The quality of public information and the term structure of interest rates," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 40(4), pages 715-740, May.
    4. Gau, Yin-Feng & Hua, Mingshu & Wu, Wen-Lin, 2010. "International asset allocation for incompletely-informed investors," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 13(4), pages 422-447, November.
    5. Munk, Claus, 2015. "Financial Asset Pricing Theory," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198716457.
    6. David Feldman, 2007. "Incomplete information equilibria: Separation theorems and other myths," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 151(1), pages 119-149, April.
    7. Wen-Lin Wu & Yin-Feng Gau, 2017. "Home bias in portfolio choices: social learning among partially informed agents," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 527-556, February.
    8. Morita, Hiroshi & Okimoto, Tatsuyoshi, 2021. "The interest rate determination when economic variables are partially observable," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D5 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium
    • D9 - Microeconomics - - Micro-Based Behavioral Economics
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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