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Forecasting Uses of Anticipatory Data on Investment and Sales

Author

Listed:
  • F. Modigliani
  • H. M. Weingartner

Abstract

I. Introduction, 23; purpose of the analysis, 23; nature of the data, 25. — II. Direct forecasting value of the anticipatory data, 26; capital outlay plans, 26; sales anticipations, 34. — III. Errors of sales anticipations and the realization of investment plans — an example of the realization function approach, 36; statement of the problem, 36; formulation of the model, 39; empirical results, 43; some analytical implications, 47; some forecasting implications, 50. — Appendix, 53.

Suggested Citation

  • F. Modigliani & H. M. Weingartner, 1958. "Forecasting Uses of Anticipatory Data on Investment and Sales," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 72(1), pages 23-54.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:qjecon:v:72:y:1958:i:1:p:23-54.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1884188
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    Cited by:

    1. Antoine Naboulet & Sébastien Raspiller, 2006. "Déterminants de la décision d'investir et destination économique des équipements," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 395(1), pages 141-163.
    2. repec:crs:ecosta:es395-396g is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Steven M. Shugan, 2005. "Comments on Competitive Responsiveness," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 24(1), pages 3-7.
    4. Lindström, Tomas, 2000. "Qualitative Survey Responses and Production over the Business Cycle," Working Paper Series 116, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    5. Michael Lovell, 1967. "Sales Anticipations, Planned Inventory Investment, and Realizations," NBER Chapters,in: Determinants of Investment Behavior, pages 537-599 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. A. Naboulet & S. Raspiller, 2004. "Factors in business investment: an expectation based approach using business survey data," Documents de Travail de la DESE - Working Papers of the DESE g2004-04, Institut National de la Statistique et des Etudes Economiques, DESE.

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