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Forecasting Uses of Anticipatory Data on Investment and Sales


  • F. Modigliani
  • H. M. Weingartner


I. Introduction, 23; purpose of the analysis, 23; nature of the data, 25. — II. Direct forecasting value of the anticipatory data, 26; capital outlay plans, 26; sales anticipations, 34. — III. Errors of sales anticipations and the realization of investment plans — an example of the realization function approach, 36; statement of the problem, 36; formulation of the model, 39; empirical results, 43; some analytical implications, 47; some forecasting implications, 50. — Appendix, 53.

Suggested Citation

  • F. Modigliani & H. M. Weingartner, 1958. "Forecasting Uses of Anticipatory Data on Investment and Sales," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, Oxford University Press, vol. 72(1), pages 23-54.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:qjecon:v:72:y:1958:i:1:p:23-54.

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    Cited by:

    1. Antoine Naboulet & Sébastien Raspiller, 2006. "Déterminants de la décision d'investir et destination économique des équipements," Économie et Statistique, Programme National Persée, vol. 395(1), pages 141-163.
    2. Michael Lovell, 1967. "Sales Anticipations, Planned Inventory Investment, and Realizations," NBER Chapters, in: Determinants of Investment Behavior, pages 537-599, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Pyyhtiä, Ilmo, 1991. "Investment plans, innovations and revision costs in Finnish manufacturing," Research Discussion Papers 19/1991, Bank of Finland.
    4. Steven M. Shugan, 2005. "Comments on Competitive Responsiveness," Marketing Science, INFORMS, vol. 24(1), pages 3-7.
    5. David Shepherd & Ciaran Driver, 2003. "Inflation and Capacity Constraints in Australian Manufacturing Industry," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 79(245), pages 182-195, June.
    6. Lindström, Tomas, 2000. "Qualitative Survey Responses and Production over the Business Cycle," Working Paper Series 116, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden).
    7. Ciaran Driver & Giovanni Urga, 2004. "Transforming Qualitative Survey Data: Performance Comparisons for the UK," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 66(1), pages 71-89, February.

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