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Does Exchange Rate Appreciation 'Deindustrialize' the Open Economy? A Critique of U.S. Evidence


  • Glick, Reuven
  • Hutchison, Michael M


This paper takes a critical look at the conventional view that the dollar exchange rate appreciation during the early 1980s caused a major resource shift in the U.S. economy away from tradables production, such as manufactures, toward nontradables production. We argue that the association of a dollar appreciation with relative strength or weakness in the tradable goods sector depends on the particular shock causing the appreciation, and consequently that the relation between exchange rates and the sectoral composition of output is unlikely to be stable over time. Our empirical analysis finds evidence of instability in the exchange rate--sectoral output link and of a positive association between tradables output and fiscal stimulus. Copyright 1990 by Oxford University Press.

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  • Glick, Reuven & Hutchison, Michael M, 1990. "Does Exchange Rate Appreciation 'Deindustrialize' the Open Economy? A Critique of U.S. Evidence," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 28(1), pages 19-37, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ecinqu:v:28:y:1990:i:1:p:19-37

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Feldstein, Martin & Liebman, Jeffrey B., 2002. "Social security," Handbook of Public Economics,in: A. J. Auerbach & M. Feldstein (ed.), Handbook of Public Economics, edition 1, volume 4, chapter 32, pages 2245-2324 Elsevier.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bahmani-Oskooee Mohsen & Mirzaie Aghdas, 2000. "The Long-Run Effects of Depreciation of The Dollar on Sectoral Output," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(3), pages 51-61.
    2. Kandil, Magda & Mirzaie, Ida Aghdas, 2003. "The effects of dollar appreciation on sectoral labor market adjustments: Theory and evidence," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 89-117.
    3. John A. Tatom, 1995. "Currency Appreciation and ‘Deindustrialisation’: A European Perspective," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(4), pages 519-541, July.
    4. Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Ida A. Mirzaie & Ilir Miteza, 2007. "Sectoral Employment, Wages and the Exchange Rate: Evidence from the U.S," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 33(1), pages 125-136, Winter.

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