IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Quantifying the Effects of Mexico's Retaliatory Tariffs on Selected U.S. Agricultural Exports


  • Steven Zahniser
  • Tom Hertz
  • Monica Argoti


This article estimates the trade-reducing effects of the retaliatory import tariffs imposed by Mexico on selected U.S. agricultural products from March 2009 to October 2011 as part of the U.S.-Mexico trucking dispute. Using an autoregressive distributed-lag time series model of the targeted agricultural exports, we find that the tariffs reduced U.S. sales of these products to Mexico by $984 million (22%). We find no evidence that reduced exports to Mexico were offset by increased sales of these same goods to other countries. The large impact of the tariffs underscores the importance of the duty-free provisions of the North American Free Trade Agreement, as well as the potentially high costs of retaliatory trade measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Steven Zahniser & Tom Hertz & Monica Argoti, 2016. "Quantifying the Effects of Mexico's Retaliatory Tariffs on Selected U.S. Agricultural Exports," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 38(1), pages 93-112.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:apecpp:v:38:y:2016:i:1:p:93-112.

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    More about this item


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oup:apecpp:v:38:y:2016:i:1:p:93-112.. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Oxford University Press). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.