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Specification Tests for the Partial Adjustment and Adaptive Expectations Models

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  • Howard E. Doran

Abstract

The partial adjustment and adaptive expectations hypotheses give rise to simple dynamic models with a long history in empirical research. Tests of their adequacy, however, do not appear to figure prominently in the literature. Specification tests are derived by nesting these two models in the more general partial adjustment-adaptive expectations model and deriving the likelihood ratio, Lagrange multiplier, and Wald tests. Monte-carlo experiments are conducted to assess the power of these tests (together with other tests, including Durbin's h-test) for small samples.

Suggested Citation

  • Howard E. Doran, 1988. "Specification Tests for the Partial Adjustment and Adaptive Expectations Models," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 70(3), pages 713-723.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:70:y:1988:i:3:p:713-723.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1241510
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    Cited by:

    1. Amina Al Naabi & Shekar Bose, 2020. "Do Regulatory Measures Necessarily Affect Oman’s Seafood Export-Supply?," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(3), pages 21582440209, August.
    2. Burton, Diana M. & Love, H. Alan, 1996. "A Review of Alternative Expectations Regimes in Commodity Markets: Specification, Estimation, and Hypothesis Testing Using Structural Models," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 25(2), pages 213-231, October.
    3. baharumshah, ahmad, 1991. "Specification Issues and the Estimation of Supply Equation for Rice in Malaysia," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 24(December), pages 3-16.
    4. Lin, Winston T. & Chen, Yueh H. & Hung, TingShu, 2019. "A partial adjustment valuation approach with stochastic and dynamic speeds of partial adjustment to measuring and evaluating the business value of information technology," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 272(2), pages 766-779.
    5. Lin, Winston T. & Kao, Ta-Wei (Daniel), 2014. "The partial adjustment valuation approach with dynamic and variable speeds of adjustment to evaluating and measuring the business value of information technology," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 238(1), pages 208-220.
    6. Emmanuel Tambi, N., 1996. "The dynamics of household beef consumption in Cameroon," Agricultural Economics, Blackwell, vol. 14(1), pages 11-19, April.

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