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The Dynamics of Agriculture Supply: A Reconsideration

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  • Zvi Eckstein

Abstract

This paper presents a dynamic rational expectations equilibrium model for a given crop. The dynamic supply equation is derived from the farmer optimization problem; and the equilibrium movements of commodity price, production, and land allocations are solved analytically. It is shown that the observed dynamics of agriculture supply, which are usually explained and measured with the Nerlovian supply response model, can be explained and measured at least as well by the rational expectations equilibrium model. However, interpretation of the results is different, and the paper defines explicitly the dynamic supply elasticities and presents an econometric method for consistent estimators for the parameters.

Suggested Citation

  • Zvi Eckstein, 1985. "The Dynamics of Agriculture Supply: A Reconsideration," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 67(2), pages 204-214.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:67:y:1985:i:2:p:204-214.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.2307/1240671
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Christophe Gouel, 2012. "Agricultural Price Instability: A Survey Of Competing Explanations And Remedies," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(1), pages 129-156, February.
    2. Amina Al Naabi & Shekar Bose, 2020. "Do Regulatory Measures Necessarily Affect Oman’s Seafood Export-Supply?," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(3), pages 21582440209, August.
    3. Matheson, Robert & Clark, J. Stephen, 1990. "Price Stabilization Under Rational Expectations," 1990 Annual meeting, August 5-8, Vancouver, Canada 270922, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    4. Alfons Oude Lansink & Spiro Stefanou, 2001. "Dynamic Area Allocation and Economies of Scale and Scope," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 52(3), pages 38-52, September.
    5. Epperson, James E. & Huang, Wan-Tran, 1992. "The Potential For Intraseasonal Market Flow Management Of Southeastern Sweet Potatoes," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 23(2), pages 1-8, June.
    6. Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum, 1997. "Government policy and dynamic supply response: a study of the compulsory grain delivery system," MPRA Paper 18674, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Epperson, James E. & Huang, Wan-Tran, 1994. "The Potential For Supply Management Of Southeastern Sweet Onions," Journal of Food Distribution Research, Food Distribution Research Society, vol. 25(2), pages 1-7, September.
    8. Hyunseok Kim & GianCarlo Moschini, 2018. "The Dynamics of Supply: U.S. Corn and Soybeans in the Biofuel Era," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 94(4), pages 593-613.
    9. Roemen, J.H.J., 1991. "The long term elasticity of the milk supply with respect to the milk price in the Netherlands in the period 1969-1984," Other publications TiSEM 2b9606bf-212e-4ddc-bcf0-6, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    10. Sajjad & Zahoor ul Haq & Javed Iqbal & Muhammad Faisal Shahzad, 2022. "Understanding the Profitability, Supply, and Input Demand of Tobacco Farms in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Pakistan," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-20, March.
    11. Buhr, Brian L., 1993. "A Quarterly Econometric Simulation Model Of The U.S. Livestock And Meat Sector," Staff Papers 13465, University of Minnesota, Department of Applied Economics.
    12. Clark, J. Stephen & Klein, Kurt K., 1993. "The Relationship Between Price Stabilization And Cycles In The Canadian Wheat Market," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Northeastern Agricultural and Resource Economics Association, vol. 23(1), pages 1-7, April.
    13. Tsai, Grace Yueh-Hsiang, 1989. "A dynamic model of the U.S. cotton market with rational expectations," ISU General Staff Papers 1989010108000012168, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    14. Bachewe, Fantu Nisrane & Taffesse, Alemayehu Seyoum, 2015. "Dynamic supply response of farm households in Ethiopia:," ESSP working papers 78, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).

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