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Pollination Markets and the Coupled Futures of Almonds and Honey Bees: Simulating Impacts of Shifts in Demands and Costs

Author

Listed:
  • Hyunok Lee
  • Daniel A Sumner
  • Antoine Champetier

Abstract

Honey bees have garnered much attention in recent years. Concerns about long-term sustainability of pollinator populations have been coupled with concerns about implications for food supplies. We use a novel formulation of a multiple input, multiple output, two season equilibrium simulation model to explore economic linkages across the markets of buyers and sellers of pollination services and honey. We specify and calibrate in a tractable way the empirical relationships between pollinators and the crops they pollinate, especially almonds. Our model highlights the sequential nature of the pollination season and implication for revenue from pollination and honey production. We demonstrate how shifts in almond supply and demand and the much-discussed honey bee hive health problems cause price and quantity adjustments in horizontally and vertically related markets and quantify these effects. We show that the economic fortunes of the almond industry, including demand growth, cost concerns, and the potential for new almond varieties that use fewer bees, crucially affect the returns to beekeeping and the number of hives. These drivers of almond economics also have substantial effects on the cost of pollination for crops that are pollinated later.

Suggested Citation

  • Hyunok Lee & Daniel A Sumner & Antoine Champetier, 2019. "Pollination Markets and the Coupled Futures of Almonds and Honey Bees: Simulating Impacts of Shifts in Demands and Costs," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(1), pages 230-249.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:ajagec:v:101:y:2019:i:1:p:230-249.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/ajae/aay063
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Despina Popovska Stojanov & Lazo Dimitrov & Jiří Danihlík & Aleksandar Uzunov & Miroljub Golubovski & Sreten Andonov & Robert Brodschneider, 2021. "Direct Economic Impact Assessment of Winter Honeybee Colony Losses in Three European Countries," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-11, April.
    2. Antoine Champetier & Daniel A Sumner, 2019. "Marginal Costs and Likely Supply Elasticities for Pollination and Honey," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1373-1385.
    3. Hart, Jarrett & Somerville, Scott & Sumner, Daniel A., 2022. "Brewery and Winery By-Product Markets: Environmental and Economic Benefits," 2022 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Anaheim, California 322322, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    4. repec:ags:aaea22:335769 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Goodrich, Brittney K. & Goodhue, Rachael E., 2020. "Are All Colonies Created Equal? The Role of Honey Bee Colony Strength in Almond Pollination Contracts," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    6. Sambucci, Olena & Sumner, Daniel A. & Goldstein, Robin, 2020. "Effect of taxes and costly regulations on the licensed and unlicensed cannabis markets," 2020 Annual Meeting, July 26-28, Kansas City, Missouri 304602, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    7. Abraham Ajibade & Sayed Saghaian, 2022. "U.S. Almond Exports and Retaliatory Trade Tariffs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-15, May.

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