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Southeastern Europe: Financial Deepening, Foreign Banks and Sudden Stops in Capital Flows

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  • Adalbert Winkler

    () (Frankfurt School of Finance & Management,)

Abstract

Over recent years, rapid financial deepening has been observed in Southeastern Europe. While originally welcomed as a sign of financial development spurring growth, macrofinancial stability concerns emerged as inflationary pressures rose and current account deficits came close to or surpassed double-digit levels. However, until autumn 2008, stability risks remained contained. Since then, Southeastern European countries appear to have been confronted with a sudden stop of capital flows, creating an Asian-crisis-like scenario. While this seems to vindicate warnings that financial deepening had taken an unsustainable course, the drying up of capital flows has largely been reflecting contagion from the financial turmoil in mature markets. Against this background, the most recent events indicate that the strategy of fostering financial development based on fit and proper foreign banks does not automatically provide a guarantee for financial stability.

Suggested Citation

  • Adalbert Winkler, 2009. "Southeastern Europe: Financial Deepening, Foreign Banks and Sudden Stops in Capital Flows," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 84-97.
    • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbfi:y:2009:i:1:b:4
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Stemmer, 2017. "Revisiting Finance and Growth in Transition Economies - A Panel Causality Approach," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) halshs-01524462, HAL.
    2. repec:eee:finana:v:54:y:2017:i:c:p:1-22 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Vogel, Ursula & Winkler, Adalbert, 2010. "Foreign banks and financial stability in emerging markets: Evidence from the global financial crisis," Frankfurt School - Working Paper Series 149, Frankfurt School of Finance and Management.
    4. Edoardo Gaffeo & Petya Garalova, 2014. "On the finance-growth nexus: additional evidence from Central and Eastern Europe countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 89-115, May.
    5. Nenovski, Tome, 2012. "Post crisis Remodeling of the Economy for the Sustainable Growth of South Eastern European Countries," MPRA Paper 42257, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Danica Unevska Andonova & Branimir Jovanovic, 2011. "Sustainability of the Macedonian Current Account," Working Papers 2011-06, National Bank of the Republic of Macedonia.
    7. Gedeon Shirley, 2010. "The Political Economy of Currency Boards: Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, De Gruyter Open, vol. 5(2), pages 7-20, November.
    8. Adalbert Winkler, 2012. "The Financial Crisis: A Wake-up Call for Strengthening Regional Monitoring of Financial Markets and Regional Coordination of Financial Sector Policies?," Chapters,in: Implications of the Global Financial Crisis for Financial Reform and Regulation in Asia, chapter 7 Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. Nenovski, Tome, 2012. "Lessons from world economic crises: cleaning, remodeling and harmonizing the economy," MPRA Paper 42249, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Đorđe Đukić & Mališa Đukić, 2009. "The Global Financial Crisis and the Behaviour of Short-Term Interest Rates International and Serbian Aspects," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(4), pages 491-506, December.

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