IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nax/conyad/v63y2018i4p9-10.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Capacidad predictiva de la rentabilidad en empresas del mercado de capitales de Argentina

Author

Listed:
  • Dante Domingo Terreno

    (Universidad Nacional Córdoba, Argentina)

  • Silvana Andrea Sattler

    (Universidad Nacional Córdoba, Argentina)

  • Enrique Leopoldo Castro González

    (Universidad Nacional Córdoba, Argentina)

Abstract

Farfield y Yohn (2001) presentan un sencillo e interesante modelo a efectos de predecir la rentabilidad en el corto plazo, en base a la rentabilidad actual y los componentes de Dupont. No obstante, la importancia y difusión de dicho modelo no ha sido estudiado en economías emergentes. Es por ello, que en el presente trabajo se plantea como objetivo evaluar la capacidad predictiva de la rentabilidad de los activos operativos netos, en base al modelo mencionado en el mercado de capitales de Argentina. Los modelos contrastados muestran un importante proceso de reversión a la media de rentabilidad y que solamente la rotación de los activos operativos netos permite la mejoría en la rentabilidad del año siguiente. En cambio, el aumento del margen de ganancias revierte rápidamente, determinando un efecto negativo sobre rentabilidad del año siguiente.

Suggested Citation

  • Dante Domingo Terreno & Silvana Andrea Sattler & Enrique Leopoldo Castro González, 2018. "Capacidad predictiva de la rentabilidad en empresas del mercado de capitales de Argentina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 63(4), pages 9-10, Octubre-D.
    • Handle: RePEc:nax:conyad:v:63:y:2018:i:4:p:9-10
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cya.unam.mx/index.php/cya/article/view/1147/1240
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. George J. Stigler, 1963. "Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number stig63-1, March.
    2. George J. Stigler, 1963. "Errata Statement for "Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries"," NBER Chapters, in: Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries, pages 2-8, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Lev, B & Thiagarajan, Sr, 1993. "Fundamental Information Analysis," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(2), pages 190-215.
    4. George J. Stigler, 1963. "Front matter, "Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries" including Preface," NBER Chapters, in: Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries, pages -21--9, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    5. George J. Stigler, 1963. "Introduction to "Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries"," NBER Chapters, in: Capital and Rates of Return in Manufacturing Industries, pages 3-10, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Konchitchki, Yaniv, 2011. "Inflation and Nominal Financial Reporting: Implications for Performance and Stock Prices," MPRA Paper 52928, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dante Domingo Terreno & Silvana Andrea Sattler & Enrique Leopoldo Castro González, 2018. "Predictive capacity of profitability in companies in the capital market of Argentina," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 63(4), pages 11-12, Octubre-D.
    2. Safdar, Irfan, 2016. "Industry competition and fundamental analysis," Journal of Accounting Literature, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 36-54.
    3. Brett W. Cantrell & Victoria Dickinson, 2020. "Conditional Life Cycle: An Examination of Operating Performance for Leaders and Laggards," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(1), pages 433-451, January.
    4. Monterrey Mayoral, Juan & Sánchez Segura, Amparo, 2017. "Una evaluación empírica de los métodos de predicción de la rentabilidad y su relación con las características corporativas," Revista de Contabilidad - Spanish Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 95-106.
    5. Reint Gropp & Anil K Kashyap, 2010. "A New Metric for Banking Integration in Europe," NBER Chapters, in: Europe and the Euro, pages 219-246, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Peter M. Clarkson & Jennifer L. Kao & Gordon D. Richardson, 1994. "The Voluntary Inclusion of Forecasts in the MD&A Section of Annual Reports," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(1), pages 423-450, June.
    7. F. C.v.N. Fourie & A. Smith, 1998. "The Concentration ‐ Profits Stalemate I: Causality and Interpretation Problems," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 66(4), pages 265-276, December.
    8. Michael Salinger, 1990. "The Concentration-Margins Relationship Reconsidered," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 21(1990 Micr), pages 287-335.
    9. Arribas Ivan & Perez Francisco & Tortosa-Ausina Emili, 2010. "The Determinants of International Financial Integration Revisited: The Role of Networks and Geographic Neutrality," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 15(1), pages 1-55, December.
    10. Mundt, Philipp & Alfarano, Simone & Milaković, Mishael, 2020. "Exploiting ergodicity in forecasts of corporate profitability," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    11. Saeed Ahmed, 2007. "Forecasting Profitability, Earnings, and Corporate Taxes: Evidence from UK Companies," SBP Working Paper Series 16, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department.
    12. Casu, Barbara & Girardone, Claudia, 2010. "Integration and efficiency convergence in EU banking markets," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 38(5), pages 260-267, October.
    13. Peter M. Clarkson & Jennifer L. Kao & Gordon D. Richardson, 1994. "La présentation volontaire d'information à caractère prévisionnel dans le rapport de gestion intégré aux rapports annuels," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(1), pages 451-488, June.
    14. Ruyun (Ivy) Feng & Michael D. Kimbrough & Sijing Wei, 2022. "The role of information transparency in the product market: an examination of the sustainability of profitability differences," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 27(2), pages 668-705, June.
    15. Mahmood, Talat, 1990. "Die Dynamik der Rentabilität als stochastischer Prozess: eine empirische Zeitreihenanalyse von ausgewählten deutschen und amerikanischen Unternehmen. Vom Fachbereich 20 Informatik der Technischen Univ," EconStor Books, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, number 112236, July.
    16. Robert H. Litzenberger & O. Maurice Joy, 1973. "Inter­Industry Profitability Under Uncertainty," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 11(3), pages 338-349, September.
    17. repec:eee:labchp:v:1:y:1986:i:c:p:525-602 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Patricia M. Fairfield & Sundaresh Ramnath & Teri Lombardi Yohn, 2009. "Do Industry‐Level Analyses Improve Forecasts of Financial Performance?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1), pages 147-178, March.
    19. Matti Keloharju & Juhani T. Linnainmaa & Peter Nyberg, 2019. "Long-Term Discount Rates Do Not Vary Across Firms," NBER Working Papers 25579, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    20. Julian Wells, Julian, 2007. "The rate of profit as a random variable," MPRA Paper 98235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    21. Maury, Benjamin, 2018. "Sustainable competitive advantage and profitability persistence: Sources versus outcomes for assessing advantage," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 100-113.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nax:conyad:v:63:y:2018:i:4:p:9-10. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Alberto García-Narvaez (Technical Editor) (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fcunamx.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.