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Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel E. Horton

    (Stanford University
    Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University)

  • Nathaniel C. Johnson

    (International Pacific Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa
    Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego
    Cooperative Institute for Climate Science, Princeton University)

  • Deepti Singh

    (Stanford University)

  • Daniel L. Swain

    (Stanford University)

  • Bala Rajaratnam

    (Stanford University
    Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University
    Stanford University)

  • Noah S. Diffenbaugh

    (Stanford University
    Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University)

Abstract

This study identifies statistically significant trends in mid-atmospheric circulation patterns that partially explain observed changes in extreme temperature occurrence over Eurasia and North America; although the underlying cause of circulation pattern trends remains uncertain, most extreme temperature trends are shown to be consistent with thermodynamic warming.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel E. Horton & Nathaniel C. Johnson & Deepti Singh & Daniel L. Swain & Bala Rajaratnam & Noah S. Diffenbaugh, 2015. "Contribution of changes in atmospheric circulation patterns to extreme temperature trends," Nature, Nature, vol. 522(7557), pages 465-469, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:522:y:2015:i:7557:d:10.1038_nature14550
    DOI: 10.1038/nature14550
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Efi Rousi & Kai Kornhuber & Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga & Fei Luo & Dim Coumou, 2022. "Accelerated western European heatwave trends linked to more-persistent double jets over Eurasia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. Srihari Sundar & Michael T. Craig & Ashley E. Payne & David J. Brayshaw & Flavio Lehner, 2023. "Meteorological drivers of resource adequacy failures in current and high renewable Western U.S. power systems," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    3. Robert Vautard & Julien Cattiaux & Tamara Happé & Jitendra Singh & Rémy Bonnet & Christophe Cassou & Dim Coumou & Fabio D’Andrea & Davide Faranda & Erich Fischer & Aurélien Ribes & Sebastian Sippel & , 2023. "Heat extremes in Western Europe increasing faster than simulated due to atmospheric circulation trends," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    4. Li, Muyuan & Yao, Jinfeng & Shen, Yanbo & Yuan, Bin & Simmonds, Ian & Liu, Yunyun, 2023. "Impact of synoptic circulation patterns on renewable energy-related variables over China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    5. Frances C. Moore, 2017. "Learning, Adaptation, And Weather In A Changing Climate," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(04), pages 1-21, November.
    6. Xiuping Yi & Ling Zou & Zigeng Niu & Daoyang Jiang & Qian Cao, 2022. "Multi-Model Ensemble Projections of Winter Extreme Temperature Events on the Chinese Mainland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(10), pages 1-21, May.
    7. Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano & Tim R. McVicar & Diego G. Miralles & Yuting Yang & Miquel Tomas‐Burguera, 2020. "Unraveling the influence of atmospheric evaporative demand on drought and its response to climate change," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(2), March.
    8. M. Carmen Alvarez-Castro & Davide Faranda & Pascal Yiou, 2018. "Atmospheric Dynamics Leading to West European Summer Hot Temperatures Since 1851," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-10, January.
    9. Wang, Fei & Lai, Hexin & Li, Yanbin & Feng, Kai & Zhang, Zezhong & Tian, Qingqing & Zhu, Xiaomeng & Yang, Haibo, 2022. "Dynamic variation of meteorological drought and its relationships with agricultural drought across China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    10. Feiyu Wang & Keqin Duan & Lei Zou, 2019. "Urbanization Effects on Human-Perceived Temperature Changes in the North China Plain," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-15, June.
    11. Kexin Zhang & Jiajia Luo & Jiaoting Peng & Hongchang Zhang & Yan Ji & Hong Wang, 2022. "Analysis of Extreme Temperature Variations on the Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau in Southwestern China over the Past 60 Years," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-17, July.
    12. Xiaoting Sun & Qinghua Ding & Shih-Yu Simon Wang & Dániel Topál & Qingquan Li & Christopher Castro & Haiyan Teng & Rui Luo & Yihui Ding, 2022. "Enhanced jet stream waviness induced by suppressed tropical Pacific convection during boreal summer," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    13. Xiaoyan Liang & Zhenmin Niu & Xiaolong Li, 2023. "Temporal and Spatial Variations of Extreme Climate Events in Northwestern China from 1960 to 2020," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-20, October.
    14. Sarah M. Anderson & Linda S. Heath & Marla R. Emery & Jeffrey A. Hicke & Jeremy S. Littell & Alan Lucier & Jeffrey G. Masek & David L. Peterson & Richard Pouyat & Kevin M. Potter & Guy Robertson & Jin, 2021. "Developing a set of indicators to identify, monitor, and track impacts and change in forests of the United States," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(1), pages 1-16, March.
    15. S. E. Perkins-Kirkpatrick & C. J. White & L. V. Alexander & D. Argüeso & G. Boschat & T. Cowan & J. P. Evans & M. Ekström & E. C. J. Oliver & A. Phatak & A. Purich, 2016. "Natural hazards in Australia: heatwaves," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(1), pages 101-114, November.
    16. Na Zhao & Mingxing Chen, 2021. "A Comprehensive Study of Spatiotemporal Variations in Temperature Extremes across China during 1960–2018," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-16, March.
    17. Xing Zhang & Tianjun Zhou & Wenxia Zhang & Liwen Ren & Jie Jiang & Shuai Hu & Meng Zuo & Lixia Zhang & Wenmin Man, 2023. "Increased impact of heat domes on 2021-like heat extremes in North America under global warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    18. Bedassa R. Cheneka & Simon J. Watson & Sukanta Basu, 2021. "Associating Synoptic-Scale Weather Patterns with Aggregated Offshore Wind Power Production and Ramps," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-14, June.

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