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The twentieth century was the wettest period in northern Pakistan over the past millennium

Author

Listed:
  • Kerstin S. Treydte

    (Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL)

  • Gerhard H. Schleser

    (Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, ICG-V)

  • Gerhard Helle

    (Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, ICG-V)

  • David C. Frank

    (Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL)

  • Matthias Winiger

    (University of Bonn)

  • Gerald H. Haug

    (GeoForschungsZentrum Potsdam)

  • Jan Esper

    (Swiss Federal Research Institute WSL)

Abstract

A long rain A warming climate could significantly alter the global rate and distribution of rainfall, and arguably it is changing rainfall, rather than temperature, that would have the greater direct impact on human well-being and on ecosystems. An annually resolved oxygen isotope record from tree-rings has been used to produce a millennial-scale reconstruction of precipitation variability in the mountains of northern Pakistan. The data reveal an increase in precipitation during the late nineteenth and the twentieth centuries, producing the wettest conditions seen in the past thousand years. A comparison with other climate reconstructions points to large-scale intensification of the hydrological cycle coincident with the onset of industrialization and global warming. Its unprecedented amplitude argues for a human contribution to the change.

Suggested Citation

  • Kerstin S. Treydte & Gerhard H. Schleser & Gerhard Helle & David C. Frank & Matthias Winiger & Gerald H. Haug & Jan Esper, 2006. "The twentieth century was the wettest period in northern Pakistan over the past millennium," Nature, Nature, vol. 440(7088), pages 1179-1182, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:nature:v:440:y:2006:i:7088:d:10.1038_nature04743
    DOI: 10.1038/nature04743
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhenju Chen & Xingyuan He & Nicole K. Davi & Xianliang Zhang, 2016. "A 258-year reconstruction of precipitation for southern Northeast China and the northern Korean peninsula," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 139(3), pages 609-622, December.
    2. Jan Altman & Kerstin Treydte & Vit Pejcha & Tomas Cerny & Petr Petrik & Miroslav Srutek & Jong-Suk Song & Valerie Trouet & Jiri Dolezal, 2020. "Tree growth response to recent warming of two endemic species in Northeast Asia," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(3), pages 1345-1364, October.
    3. Yinge Liu & Yanjun Wen & Yaqian Zhao & Haonan Hu, 2022. "Analysis of Drought and Flood Variations on a 200-Year Scale Based on Historical Environmental Information in Western China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(5), pages 1-16, February.
    4. Zahid Rauf & Adam Khan & Samina Siddiqui & Sidra Saleem & Tahir Iqbal & Safdar Ali Shah & Nowsherwan Zarif & Wahiba Iqbal, 2022. "Radial growth, present status and future prospects of west Himalayan fir (Abies pindrow Royle) growing in the moist temperate forest of Himalayan mountains of Pakistan," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 68(9), pages 344-356.
    5. Liang Yi & Hongjun Yu & Junyi Ge & Zhongping Lai & Xingyong Xu & Li Qin & Shuzhen Peng, 2012. "Reconstructions of annual summer precipitation and temperature in north-central China since 1470 AD based on drought/flood index and tree-ring records," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(1), pages 469-498, January.
    6. Islam, Md. Nazrul & Kitazawa, Daisuke & Kokuryo, Naoki & Tabeta, Shigeru & Honma, Takamitsu & Komatsu, Nobuyuki, 2012. "Numerical modeling on transition of dominant algae in Lake Kitaura, Japan," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 146-163.
    7. Luo Qin & Guangxin Liu & Xiangzhong Li & E. Chongyi & Jiang Li & Changrun Wu & Xin Guan & Yuan Wang, 2023. "A 1000-year hydroclimate record from the Asian summer monsoon-Westerlies transition zone in the northeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 176(3), pages 1-18, March.
    8. Zong-Shan Li & Qi-Bin Zhang & Keping Ma, 2012. "Tree-ring reconstruction of summer temperature for A.D. 1475–2003 in the central Hengduan Mountains, Northwestern Yunnan, China," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(1), pages 455-467, January.

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