IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v16y2025i1d10.1038_s41467-025-64268-3.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Southern Ocean influence on Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation across climate states

Author

Listed:
  • Zhaoyang Song

    (Sun Yat-sen University, and Key Laboratory of Tropical Atmosphere–Ocean System, Ministry of Education
    GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel)

  • Mojib Latif

    (GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel
    Kiel University)

  • Wonsun Park

    (Center for Climate Physics, Institute for Basic Science
    Pusan National University)

  • Yuming Zhang

    (Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People’s Republic of China)

Abstract

Various proxy data agree on a shallow Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) during the last glacial maximum (LGM), extending down to 2000 m − 2500 m depth, which is similar to the AMOC geometry projected by climate models over the 21st century with rising atmospheric CO2. The AMOC strength in the two climate states is insufficiently constrained. Here the Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) and North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) properties from proxy data and climate models are used to investigate their influences on the AMOC. It is primarily the AABW’s potential density that determines the AMOC depth in both the LGM and warming climate. Changes in the potential density of the AABW, and the density contrast between NADW and AABW affect the pathways via which NADW returns to the surface and provide a constraint on AMOC strength. This study emphasizes the importance of the Southern Ocean in the AMOC’s depth and strength across climate states.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhaoyang Song & Mojib Latif & Wonsun Park & Yuming Zhang, 2025. "Southern Ocean influence on Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation across climate states," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-13, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-64268-3
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-025-64268-3
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-025-64268-3
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-025-64268-3?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alex Hall & Peter Cox & Chris Huntingford & Stephen Klein, 2019. "Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(4), pages 269-278, April.
    2. Hong Chin Ng & Laura F. Robinson & Jerry F. McManus & Kais J. Mohamed & Allison W. Jacobel & Ruza F. Ivanovic & Lauren J. Gregoire & Tianyu Chen, 2018. "Coherent deglacial changes in western Atlantic Ocean circulation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-10, December.
    3. L. C. Skinner & F. Primeau & E. Freeman & M. de la Fuente & P. A. Goodwin & J. Gottschalk & E. Huang & I. N. McCave & T. L. Noble & A. E. Scrivner, 2017. "Radiocarbon constraints on the glacial ocean circulation and its impact on atmospheric CO2," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 8(1), pages 1-10, December.
    4. J. F. McManus & R. Francois & J.-M. Gherardi & L. D. Keigwin & S. Brown-Leger, 2004. "Collapse and rapid resumption of Atlantic meridional circulation linked to deglacial climate changes," Nature, Nature, vol. 428(6985), pages 834-837, April.
    5. Pascale Braconnot & Sandy P. Harrison & Masa Kageyama & Patrick J. Bartlein & Valerie Masson-Delmotte & Ayako Abe-Ouchi & Bette Otto-Bliesner & Yan Zhao, 2012. "Evaluation of climate models using palaeoclimatic data," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(6), pages 417-424, June.
    6. Andrey Ganopolski & Stefan Rahmstorf & Vladimir Petoukhov & Martin Claussen, 1998. "Simulation of modern and glacial climates with a coupled global model of intermediate complexity," Nature, Nature, vol. 391(6665), pages 351-356, January.
    7. A. Biastoch & C. W. Böning & F. U. Schwarzkopf & J. R. E. Lutjeharms, 2009. "Increase in Agulhas leakage due to poleward shift of Southern Hemisphere westerlies," Nature, Nature, vol. 462(7272), pages 495-498, November.
    8. Stefan Rahmstorf & Jason E. Box & Georg Feulner & Michael E. Mann & Alexander Robinson & Scott Rutherford & Erik J. Schaffernicht, 2015. "Exceptional twentieth-century slowdown in Atlantic Ocean overturning circulation," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(5), pages 475-480, May.
    9. Katinka Bellomo & Michela Angeloni & Susanna Corti & Jost von Hardenberg, 2021. "Future climate change shaped by inter-model differences in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation response," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. J. A. Baker & M. J. Bell & L. C. Jackson & G. K. Vallis & A. J. Watson & R. A. Wood, 2025. "Author Correction: Continued Atlantic overturning circulation even under climate extremes," Nature, Nature, vol. 641(8062), pages 2-2, May.
    11. Daniel M. Sigman & Edward A. Boyle, 2000. "Glacial/interglacial variations in atmospheric carbon dioxide," Nature, Nature, vol. 407(6806), pages 859-869, October.
    12. J. A. Baker & M. J. Bell & L. C. Jackson & G. K. Vallis & A. J. Watson & R. A. Wood, 2025. "Continued Atlantic overturning circulation even under climate extremes," Nature, Nature, vol. 638(8052), pages 987-994, February.
    13. S. P. Harrison & P. J. Bartlein & K. Izumi & G. Li & J. Annan & J. Hargreaves & P. Braconnot & M. Kageyama, 2015. "Evaluation of CMIP5 palaeo-simulations to improve climate projections," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 735-743, August.
    14. Daniel M. Sigman & Mathis P. Hain & Gerald H. Haug, 2010. "The polar ocean and glacial cycles in atmospheric CO2 concentration," Nature, Nature, vol. 466(7302), pages 47-55, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Madison G. Shankle & Graeme A. MacGilchrist & William R. Gray & Casimir Lavergne & Laurie C. Menviel & Andrea Burke & James W. B. Rae, 2025. "Southern Ocean CO2 outgassing and nutrient load reduced by a well-ventilated glacial North Pacific," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-13, December.
    2. Shinya Iwasaki & Lester Lembke-Jene & Kana Nagashima & Helge W. Arz & Naomi Harada & Katsunori Kimoto & Frank Lamy, 2022. "Evidence for late-glacial oceanic carbon redistribution and discharge from the Pacific Southern Ocean," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    3. Jens Terhaar & Linus Vogt & Nicholas P. Foukal, 2025. "Atlantic overturning inferred from air-sea heat fluxes indicates no decline since the 1960s," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-17, December.
    4. Giuseppe Lucia & Davide Zanchettin & Amos Winter & Hai Cheng & Angelo Rubino & Osmín J. Vásquez & Juan Pablo Bernal & Mario Cu-Xi & Matthew S. Lachniet, 2024. "Atlantic Ocean thermal forcing of Central American rainfall over 140,000 years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Yuhao Dai & Jimin Yu, 2025. "Contributions of biological and physical dynamics to deglacial CO2 release from the polar Southern Ocean," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Michael E. Weber & Ian Bailey & Sidney R. Hemming & Yasmina M. Martos & Brendan T. Reilly & Thomas A. Ronge & Stefanie Brachfeld & Trevor Williams & Maureen Raymo & Simon T. Belt & Lukas Smik & Hendri, 2022. "Antiphased dust deposition and productivity in the Antarctic Zone over 1.5 million years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-18, December.
    7. Anne Willem Omta & Christopher L. Follett & Jonathan M. Lauderdale & Raffaele Ferrari, 2024. "Carbon isotope budget indicates biological disequilibrium dominated ocean carbon storage at the Last Glacial Maximum," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    8. Fuzhi Lu & Huayu Lu & Yao Gu & Pengyu Lin & Zhengyao Lu & Qiong Zhang & Hongyan Zhang & Fan Yang & Xiaoyi Dong & Shuangwen Yi & Deliang Chen & Francesco S. R. Pausata & Maya Ben-Yami & Jennifer V. Mec, 2025. "Tipping point-induced abrupt shifts in East Asian hydroclimate since the Last Glacial Maximum," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-21, December.
    9. Zhengquan Yao & Xuefa Shi & Qiuzhen Yin & Samuel Jaccard & Yanguang Liu & Zhengtang Guo & Sergey A. Gorbarenko & Kunshan Wang & Tianyu Chen & Zhipeng Wu & Qingyun Nan & Jianjun Zou & Hongmin Wang & Ji, 2024. "Ice sheet and precession controlled subarctic Pacific productivity and upwelling over the last 550,000 years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. Yiping Yang & Lanlan Zhang & Liang Yi & Fuchang Zhong & Zhengyao Lu & Sui Wan & Yan Du & Rong Xiang, 2023. "A contracting Intertropical Convergence Zone during the Early Heinrich Stadial 1," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-8, December.
    11. Edward Armstrong & Miikka Tallavaara & Peter O. Hopcroft & Paul J. Valdes, 2023. "North African humid periods over the past 800,000 years," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    12. Yuhao Dai & Jimin Yu & Haojia Ren & Xuan Ji, 2022. "Deglacial Subantarctic CO2 outgassing driven by a weakened solubility pump," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    13. Christoph C. Raible & Joaquim G. Pinto & Patrick Ludwig & Martina Messmer, 2021. "A review of past changes in extratropical cyclones in the northern hemisphere and what can be learned for the future," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 12(1), January.
    14. Gagan Mandal & Jia-Yuh Yu & Shih-Yu Lee, 2022. "The Roles of Orbital and Meltwater Climate Forcings on the Southern Ocean Dynamics during the Last Deglaciation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-17, March.
    15. Sifan Gu & Zhengyu Liu & Ning Zhao & Tianyu Chen & Jimin Yu & Jiaxu Zhang & Chengfei He & Sang Chen & Zhaoru Zhang & Lingwei Li & Alexandra Jahn, 2025. "Reduced Antarctic Bottom Water overturning rate during the early last deglaciation inferred from radiocarbon records," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-12, December.
    16. Yijia Liang & Kan Zhao & Yongjin Wang & Shitao Chen & Tyler E. Huth & Bin Zhao & Quan Wang & Zhenqiu Zhang & Qingfeng Shao & Hai Cheng & R. Lawrence Edwards, 2025. "Asian summer monsoon variability across Termination II and implications for ice age terminations," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-9, December.
    17. Torben Struve & David J. Wilson & Sophia K. V. Hines & Jess F. Adkins & Tina Flierdt, 2022. "A deep Tasman outflow of Pacific waters during the last glacial period," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    18. Qinxue Gu & Melissa Gervais & Gokhan Danabasoglu & Who M. Kim & Frederic Castruccio & Elizabeth Maroon & Shang-Ping Xie, 2024. "Wide range of possible trajectories of North Atlantic climate in a warming world," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    19. Simon L. L. Michel & Didier Swingedouw & Pablo Ortega & Guillaume Gastineau & Juliette Mignot & Gerard McCarthy & Myriam Khodri, 2022. "Early warning signal for a tipping point suggested by a millennial Atlantic Multidecadal Variability reconstruction," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.
    20. Sofía Barragán-Montilla & Heather J. H. Johnstone & Stefan Mulitza & Dharma A. Reyes Macaya & Babette A. A. Hoogakker & Heiko Pälike, 2025. "Enhanced ventilation of Eastern North Atlantic Oxygen Minimum Zone with deglacial slowdown of Meridional Overturning," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-10, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:16:y:2025:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-025-64268-3. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.