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Heat health risk assessment in Philippine cities using remotely sensed data and social-ecological indicators

Author

Listed:
  • Ronald C. Estoque

    (National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba City)

  • Makoto Ooba

    (National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba City)

  • Xerxes T. Seposo

    (Nagasaki University, 1-12-4 Sakamoto, Nagasaki City)

  • Takuya Togawa

    (National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba City)

  • Yasuaki Hijioka

    (National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba City)

  • Kiyoshi Takahashi

    (National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba City)

  • Shogo Nakamura

    (National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba City)

Abstract

More than half of the world’s population currently live in urban areas and are particularly at risk from the combined effects of the urban heat island phenomenon and heat increases due to climate change. Here, by using remotely sensed surface temperature data and social-ecological indicators, focusing on the hot dry season, and applying the risk framework of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, we assessed the current heat health risk in 139 Philippine cities, which account for about 40% of the country’s total population. The cities at high or very high risk are found in Metro Manila, where levels of heat hazard and exposure are high. The most vulnerable cities are, however, found mainly outside the national capital region, where sensitivity is higher and capacity to cope and adapt is lower. Cities with high levels of heat vulnerability and exposure must be prioritized for adaptation. Our results will contribute to risk profiling in the Philippines and to the understanding of city-level heat health risks in developing regions of the Asia-Pacific.

Suggested Citation

  • Ronald C. Estoque & Makoto Ooba & Xerxes T. Seposo & Takuya Togawa & Yasuaki Hijioka & Kiyoshi Takahashi & Shogo Nakamura, 2020. "Heat health risk assessment in Philippine cities using remotely sensed data and social-ecological indicators," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:11:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-020-15218-8
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-020-15218-8
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    Cited by:

    1. Eliana Fischer & Giovanni Barreca & Annalisa Greco & Francesco Martinico & Alessandro Pluchino & Andrea Rapisarda, 2023. "Seismic risk assessment of a large metropolitan area by means of simulated earthquakes," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 118(1), pages 117-153, August.
    2. Darshana Athukorala & Yuji Murayama, 2020. "Spatial Variation of Land Use/Cover Composition and Impact on Surface Urban Heat Island in a Tropical Sub-Saharan City of Accra, Ghana," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-20, September.
    3. Kousis, I. & Manni, M. & Pisello, A.L., 2022. "Environmental mobile monitoring of urban microclimates: A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    4. Karen T. Lourdes & Chris N. Gibbins & Perrine Hamel & Ruzana Sanusi & Badrul Azhar & Alex M. Lechner, 2021. "A Review of Urban Ecosystem Services Research in Southeast Asia," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-21, January.
    5. Armand Landreau & Sirkku Juhola & Alexandra Jurgilevich & Aleksi Räsänen, 2021. "Combining socio-economic and climate projections to assess heat risk," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 1-20, July.

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