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Fiscal Adjustment in Transition : Evidence from the 1990s

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  • CATRIONA PURFIELD

Abstract

In the 1990s, transition countries underwent large fiscal adjustments to address the fiscal imbalances that existed at the start of the transition process. This paper examines whether the factors identified in the empirical literature on advanced economies, namely the size and composition of fiscal adjustments are also important in determining the success of fiscal adjustment in transition economies. The main findings are that larger consolidations were more successful in addressing the fiscal imbalances on a durable basis. There is evidence that policies that focused on expenditure were more successful in addressing the imbalances than those that relied on revenue increases. The paper finds little evidence of expansionary fiscal contractions, but fiscal contractions were not associated with a significantly negative impact on growth either. For those that attempted fiscal stimulus in the 1990s, few succeeded in boosting growth significantly above the average country-specific growth rate for the 1990s.

Suggested Citation

  • Catriona Purfield, 2003. "Fiscal Adjustment in Transition : Evidence from the 1990s," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 39(1), pages 43-62, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:mes:emfitr:v:39:y:2003:i:1:p:43-62
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    Cited by:

    1. Alex Segura-Ubiergo & Alejandro Simone & Sanjeev Gupta & Qiang Cui, 2010. "New Evidence on Fiscal Adjustment and Growth in Transition Economies," Comparative Economic Studies, Palgrave Macmillan;Association for Comparative Economic Studies, vol. 52(1), pages 18-37, March.
    2. Mr. Benedict J. Clements & Mr. Sanjeev Gupta & Mr. Emanuele Baldacci & Mr. Carlos Mulas-Granados, 2004. "Front-Loaded or Back-Loaded Fiscal Adjustments: What Works in Emerging Market Economies?," IMF Working Papers 2004/157, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Maria Neycheva, 2005. "The Impact of the Fisc on Macroeconomic Fluctuations in Bulgarian Economy," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 42-59.
    4. Piotr Ciżkowicz & Andrzej Rzońca & Rafał Trzeciakowski, 2015. "Windfall of Low Interest Payments and Fiscal Sustainability in the Euro Area: Analysis through Panel Fiscal Reaction Functions," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 68(4), pages 475-510, November.
    5. Maria Neycheva, 2007. "Impact of Fiscal Policy on the Cumulative Production in the Bulgarian Economy," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 82-101.
    6. Emanuele Baldacci & Benedict Clements & Sanjeev Gupta & Carlos Mulas‐Granados, 2006. "The Phasing of Fiscal Adjustments: What Works in Emerging Market Economies?," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(4), pages 612-631, November.
    7. Paweł Baranowski & Piotr Krajewski & Michał Mackiewicz & Agata Szymańska, 2016. "The Effectiveness of Fiscal Policy Over the Business Cycle: A CEE Perspective," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(8), pages 1910-1921, August.
    8. Eugene Msizi Buthelezi & Phocenah Nyatanga, 2023. "Threshold of the CAPB That Can Be Attributed to Fiscal Consolidation Episodes in South Africa," Economies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-26, May.
    9. Ioannis Kostakis, 2017. "The impact of shadow economy and/or corruption on private consumption: further evidence from selected Eurozone economies," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 7(3), pages 411-434, December.
    10. Amalia Fugaru, 2004. "Fiscal adjustment in Hungary (1991-2003)," IWE Working Papers 150, Institute for World Economics - Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    11. Iulian Viorel BRAȘOVEANU & Laura OBREJA BRAŞOVEANU, 2012. "Fiscal Policy In European Union Countries – A Comparative Analysis Of Adjustment And Expansions Fiscal Policy Episodes," Journal of Knowledge Management, Economics and Information Technology, ScientificPapers.org, vol. 2(3), pages 1-3, June.

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