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Nur geringer haushaltspolitischer Spielraum trotz hoher Überschüsse

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  • van Deuverden Kristina

    (Kristina van Deuverden, DIW Berlin, Mohrenstraße 58, 10117 Berlin Germany, Tel.: 030/89789466, E-Mail:)

Abstract

Public budgets in Germany developed favorable during the last years. Currently there is a broad discussion on how to spend unexpected budget surpluses: tax reductions and a various number of spending purposes are on the agenda. Many of the proposals overlook that existing surpluses partly reflect special developments and are, thus, only temporary. This part of surpluses indicates no scope for tax reductions or lasting expenditure, but it can temporarily be used on investment spending and, thus, can enhance potential growth. In many cases proposals also overlook that the development of public finances in Germany is very heterogeneous. Regarding demographic developments social security systems will face heavy challenges and will have to raise social contribution rates in near future. A medium-term projection indicates an increase of nearly four percentage points till 2025. This dampens economic development and reduces potential growth. Thus, the permanent part of the budget surplus should be used to increase tax transfers to social insurances – especially because a huge volume of non-insurance benefits is still financed within the security system.

Suggested Citation

  • van Deuverden Kristina, 2017. "Nur geringer haushaltspolitischer Spielraum trotz hoher Überschüsse," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 66(1), pages 50-60, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:lus:zwipol:v:66:y:2017:i:1:p:50-60:n:4
    DOI: 10.1515/zfwp-2017-0004
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kristina van Deuverden, 2016. "Öffentliche Finanzen bis 2025: nur auf den ersten Blick günstig," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 83(50), pages 1193-1202.
    2. Martin Gornig & Claus Michelsen & Kristina van Deuverden, 2015. "Kommunale Infrastruktur fährt auf Verschleiß," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(43), pages 1023-1030.
    3. Ferdinand Fichtner & Karl Brenke & Marius Clemens & Simon Junker & Claus Michelsen & Maximilian Podstawski & Thore Schlaak & Kristina van Deuverden, 2016. "Deutsche Wirtschaft setzt Aufschwung fort – trotz schwächeren Beschäftigungsaufbaus: Wintergrundlinien 2016," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 83(50), pages 1177-1188.
    4. Kristina van Deuverden, 2015. "Finanzpolitik: der richtige Mix von Steuern und Sozialabgaben hat Priorität!," DIW Wochenbericht, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research, vol. 82(26), pages 608-617.
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    Cited by:

    1. Holtemöller Oliver & Schult Oliver & Zeddies Götz, 2018. "Zu den rentenpolitischen Plänen im Koalitionsvertrag 2018 von CDU, CSU und SPD: Konsequenzen, Finanzierungsoptionen und Reformbedarf," Zeitschrift für Wirtschaftspolitik, De Gruyter, vol. 67(3), pages 247-265, November.

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