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A Mathematical Approach to the Money Multiplier Analysis on Indonesian 1997–1998 Monetary Crisis

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  • Albertus Prabu Siagian

    (Climate Policy Initiative)

Abstract

In crisis moments, massive liquidity supports, extensive cash withdrawal, and large reserve hoarding can all lead to the change in monetary base, currency ratio, and reserve ratio respectively. In turn, all these disruptions could cause money supply to change. This research aims to find out which factor (among the change in monetary base, currency ratio, and reserve ratio) became the main causal factor of increasing money supply in Indonesia during 1997–1998 crisis. The method follows mathematical equation models used by Friedman & Schwartz (1963) and Stauffer (2006) in analyzing Great Depression in the US. This research has found that the change in monetary base in Indonesia during 1997–1998 crisis became the main cause of increasing money supply in that period. This result is consistent with what the other literatures had said.

Suggested Citation

  • Albertus Prabu Siagian, 2023. "A Mathematical Approach to the Money Multiplier Analysis on Indonesian 1997–1998 Monetary Crisis," Economics and Finance in Indonesia, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Indonesia, vol. 69, pages 47-66, Juni.
    • Handle: RePEc:lpe:efijnl:202304
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Milton Friedman & Anna J. Schwartz, 1963. "A Monetary History of the United States, 1867–1960," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number frie63-1.
    2. Ellen Ryan & Karl Whelan, 2023. "A Model of QE, Reserve Demand, and the Money Multiplier," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 55(2-3), pages 407-439, March.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

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