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The Conditional Distribution of Real Estate Returns: Are Higher Moments Time Varying?

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  • Bond, Shaun A
  • Patel, Kanak

Abstract

Previous research has shown that the returns on individual properties and listed property securities are skewed. This claim is investigated in the context of listed U.K. property companies and U.S. REITs. In particular, the shape of the conditional distribution of total monthly returns is examined for a group of 20 U.K. companies and 20 REITs. Also investigated is the claim that the skewness found in property returns varies over time. Using the model of Hansen (1994), it is found that while a large portion of property security returns in the sample do exhibit skewness in the conditional distribution only in a few instances is there time variation in the skewness parameter. There is little evidence to suggest that skewness is associated with the economic cycle. Copyright 2003 by Kluwer Academic Publishers

Suggested Citation

  • Bond, Shaun A & Patel, Kanak, 2003. "The Conditional Distribution of Real Estate Returns: Are Higher Moments Time Varying?," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 26(2-3), pages 319-339, March-May.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jrefec:v:26:y:2003:i:2-3:p:319-39
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    Cited by:

    1. Al-Mohana, Safa & Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser, 2016. "The Impact of Recent Crisis on the Real Estate Market on the UAE: Evidence from Asymmetric Methods," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 69(4), pages 389-428.
    2. Geoff Willcocks, 2009. "UK Housing Market: Time Series Processes with Independent and Identically Distributed Residuals," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 39(4), pages 403-414, November.
    3. Jin-Ray Lu & Chiang-Chang Hwang & Yi-Chun Chen & Chu-Ting Wen, 2013. "Including More Information Content to Enhance the Value at Risk Estimation for Real Estate Investment Trusts," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 4(3), pages 25-34, July.
    4. Chien‐Yun Chang & Jian‐Hsin Chou & Hung‐Gay Fung, 2012. "Time dependent behavior of the Asian and the US REITs around the subprime crisis," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 30(3), pages 282-303, April.
    5. Kuang-Liang Chang & Nan-Kuang Chen & Charles Leung, 2011. "Monetary Policy, Term Structure and Asset Return: Comparing REIT, Housing and Stock," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 43(1), pages 221-257, July.
    6. Ming-Chu Chiang & I-Chun Tsai, 2016. "Ripple effect and contagious effect in the US regional housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 55-82, January.
    7. Ming-Chu Chiang & I-Chun Tsai, 2016. "Ripple effect and contagious effect in the US regional housing markets," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 56(1), pages 55-82, January.
    8. Hatemi-J, Abdulnasser & Roca, Eduardo & Al-Shayeb, Abdulrahman, 2014. "How integrated are real estate markets with the world market? Evidence from case-wise bootstrap analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 137-142.
    9. Stephen E. Satchell & Shaun A. Bond, 2004. "Asymmetry, Loss Aversion and Forecasting," Econometric Society 2004 Australasian Meetings 160, Econometric Society.
    10. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Eduardo Roca, 2010. "The Impact of the US Real Estate Market on Other Major Markets During Normal and Crisis Periods," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201003, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    11. Abdulnasser Hatemi-J & Eduardo Roca, 2011. "Are Real Estate Markets Integrated with the World Market?," Discussion Papers in Finance finance:201111, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    12. Chang, Kuang-Liang, 2010. "House price dynamics, conditional higher-order moments, and density forecasts," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 1029-1039, September.

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