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On the Accuracy of the Simple Peak Hour Approximation for Markovian Queues

Author

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  • Linda V. Green

    (Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027)

  • Peter J. Kolesar

    (Graduate School of Business, Columbia University, New York, New York 10027)

Abstract

We empirically explore the accuracy of the simple stationary peak hour approximation (SPHA) for estimating peak hour performance in multiserver queuing systems with exponential service times and periodic (sinusoidal) Poisson arrival processes. We show that the SPHA is very good for a range of parameter values corresponding to a reasonably broad spectrum of real systems. However, we do find and document that there are many situations in which this approximation will be very inaccurate. We postulate and then support empirically a set of hypotheses that link the accuracy of the SPHA and the related point-wise stationary approximation (PSA) to key parameter values and model characteristics. We also present results on the time-dependent behavior of these systems as a function of key parameters. Finally we present results which indicate that our findings, developed for models with sinusoidal input streams, may apply to a much broader range of Markovian models with more general cyclic inputs.

Suggested Citation

  • Linda V. Green & Peter J. Kolesar, 1995. "On the Accuracy of the Simple Peak Hour Approximation for Markovian Queues," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 41(8), pages 1353-1370, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:inm:ormnsc:v:41:y:1995:i:8:p:1353-1370
    DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.41.8.1353
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Pieter Smet & Annelies Lejon & Greet Vanden Berghe, 2021. "Demand smoothing in shift design," Flexible Services and Manufacturing Journal, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 457-484, June.
    2. Linda V. Green & Peter J. Kolesar & João Soares, 2001. "Improving the Sipp Approach for Staffing Service Systems That Have Cyclic Demands," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 49(4), pages 549-564, August.
    3. Schwarz, Justus Arne & Selinka, Gregor & Stolletz, Raik, 2016. "Performance analysis of time-dependent queueing systems: Survey and classification," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 170-189.
    4. Ravi Kumar & Mark E. Lewis & Huseyin Topaloglu, 2013. "Dynamic service rate control for a single‐server queue with Markov‐modulated arrivals," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 60(8), pages 661-677, December.
    5. Samantha L. Zimmerman & Alexander R. Rutherford & Alexa Waall & Monica Norena & Peter Dodek, 2023. "A queuing model for ventilator capacity management during the COVID-19 pandemic," Health Care Management Science, Springer, vol. 26(2), pages 200-216, June.
    6. Defraeye, Mieke & Van Nieuwenhuyse, Inneke, 2016. "Staffing and scheduling under nonstationary demand for service: A literature review," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 4-25.
    7. Huanan Zhang & Cong Shi & Chao Qin & Cheng Hua, 2016. "Stochastic regret minimization for revenue management problems with nonstationary demands," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 63(6), pages 433-448, September.
    8. Gabriel Zayas-Cabán & Mark E. Lewis, 2020. "Admission control in a two-class loss system with periodically varying parameters and abandonments," Queueing Systems: Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 94(1), pages 175-210, February.
    9. Linda V. Green & Peter J. Kolesar, 1998. "A Note on Approximating Peak Congestion in Mt/G/\infty Queues with Sinusoidal Arrivals," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 44(11-Part-2), pages 137-144, November.
    10. Alnowibet, Khalid Abdulaziz & Perros, Harry, 2009. "Nonstationary analysis of the loss queue and of queueing networks of loss queues," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 196(3), pages 1015-1030, August.

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