IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ids/ijecbr/v13y2017i2p203-216.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Crude oil market and global financial crisis - structural break and market volatility analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Archana Singh
  • Narinder Pal Singh

Abstract

This research paper aims to analyse the impact of the recent global financial crisis on the volatility of crude spot market in India. The data has been collected for the period 2005 to 2014 from Multi Commodity Exchange, India. This paper first uses Ramsay RESET test to check the linearity of the relationship between spot and futures natural log returns. For structural break analysis, tests like Chow test, Chow forecast test, recursive estimates of CUSUM test and CUSUM of squares test have been performed on the monthly data of spot and futures price return series. No evidence of structural break was found in any test except CUSUM of squares test. Using EGARCH model with a dummy, we found that there was no effect of the global financial crisis on the volatility of crude spot market. The possible reason for the volatility of crude in 2008 could be financialisation of commodity exchanges and excessive speculation in crude oil futures.

Suggested Citation

  • Archana Singh & Narinder Pal Singh, 2017. "Crude oil market and global financial crisis - structural break and market volatility analysis," International Journal of Economics and Business Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 13(2), pages 203-216.
    • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijecbr:v:13:y:2017:i:2:p:203-216
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.inderscience.com/link.php?id=82274
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhang Yu & Muhammad Umer Quddoos & Syed Abdul Rehman Khan & Muhammad Munir Ahmad & Laeeq Razzak Janjua & Muhammad Sajid Amin & Abdul Haseeb, 2023. "Investigating the moderating impact of crime and corruption on the economic growth of Bangladesh: Fresh insights," International Area Studies Review, Center for International Area Studies, Hankuk University of Foreign Studies, vol. 26(2), pages 185-207, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ids:ijecbr:v:13:y:2017:i:2:p:203-216. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sarah Parker (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.inderscience.com/browse/index.php?journalID=310 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.