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Security assessment in complex networks exposed to terrorist hazard: a simulation approach

Author

Listed:
  • Enrico Zio
  • Claudio M. Rocco S.

Abstract

This paper presents a methodological approach combining Cellular Automata (CA) and Monte Carlo (MC) simulation for computing the security characteristics of a system exposed to terrorist attacks, such as the injection of poison in the water distribution system of a populated area. The physical system can be modelled as a network (graph) of nodes interconnected by links. CA are employed to describe the dynamics of spread of the hazard through the network, considering a simple continuity framework. The MC method allows simulating the stochastics of the hazard propagation between the nodes of the network and its effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrico Zio & Claudio M. Rocco S., 2008. "Security assessment in complex networks exposed to terrorist hazard: a simulation approach," International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 4(1/2), pages 80-95.
  • Handle: RePEc:ids:ijcist:v:4:y:2008:i:1/2:p:80-95
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    Cited by:

    1. D E Salazar A & C M Rocco S & E Zio, 2008. "Optimal protection of complex networks exposed to a terrorist hazard: A multi-objective evolutionary approach," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 222(3), pages 327-335, September.
    2. Levitin, Gregory & Hausken, Kjell, 2010. "Separation in homogeneous systems with independent identical elements," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(3), pages 625-634, June.

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