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Risk Assessment of Regional Irrigation Water Demand and Supply in an Arid Inland River Basin of Northwestern China

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  • Bin Guo

    (College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China
    State Key Laboratory of Mining Disaster Prevention and Control Co-Founded by Shandong Province and Ministry of Science & Technology, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China
    State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China)

  • Weihong Li

    (State Key Laboratory of Desert and Oasis Ecology, Xinjiang Institute of Ecology and Geography, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Urumqi 830011, China)

  • Jinyun Guo

    (College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China
    State Key Laboratory of Mining Disaster Prevention and Control Co-Founded by Shandong Province and Ministry of Science & Technology, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China)

  • Chuanfa Chen

    (College of Geodesy and Geomatics, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China
    State Key Laboratory of Mining Disaster Prevention and Control Co-Founded by Shandong Province and Ministry of Science & Technology, Shandong University of Science and Technology, Qingdao 266590, China)

Abstract

Irrigation water demand accounts for more than 95% of the total water use in the Kaidu-kongqi River Basin. Determination of the spatial and temporal trends in irrigation water demand is important for making sustainable and wise water management strategies in this highly water deficit region. In this study, the spatial and temporal trends in irrigation water demand as well as net crop irrigation water requirements for nine major crops during 1985–2009 were analyzed by combining the Penman-Monteith equation recommended by Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) and GIS technology. The regional water stress was also evaluated based on the total irrigation water demand and river discharge at the annual and monthly scales. The results indicated that the annual irrigation water demand in this arid region showed a significant increasing trend during the past 25 years. Total irrigation water demand increased from 14.68 × 10 8 m 3 in 1985 to 34.15 × 10 8 m 3 in 2009. The spatial pattern of total irrigation water demand was significantly affected by the changes in cotton growing area. Due to differences in crop planting structure, the monthly average irrigation water demands in Korla City and Yuli County amounted to the peak in July, while those in other regions reached the maximum in June. Although the annual river runoff was much larger than the irrigation water demand, there was serious water deficit during the critical water use period in May and June in some dry years. The presented study provides important information for managers and planners on sustainable use of water resources in this arid region.

Suggested Citation

  • Bin Guo & Weihong Li & Jinyun Guo & Chuanfa Chen, 2015. "Risk Assessment of Regional Irrigation Water Demand and Supply in an Arid Inland River Basin of Northwestern China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(9), pages 1-16, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:7:y:2015:i:9:p:12958-12973:d:56206
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mengya Hua & Yuyan Zhou & Cailian Hao & Qiang Yan, 2023. "Analyzing the Drivers of Agricultural Irrigation Water Demand in Water-Scarce Areas: A Comparative Study of Two Regions with Different Levels of Irrigated Agricultural Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(20), pages 1-14, October.
    2. Zhenzhen Zhao & Aiwen Lin & Jiandi Feng & Qian Yang & Ling Zou, 2016. "Analysis of Water Resources in Horqin Sandy Land Using Multisource Data from 2003 to 2010," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-18, April.
    3. Hengxu Jin & Xiaoping Rui & Xiaoyan Li, 2022. "Analysing the Performance of Four Hydrological Models in a Chinese Arid and Semi-Arid Catchment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-15, March.
    4. Fei Wang & Yaning Chen & Zhi Li & Gonghuan Fang & Yupeng Li & Zhenhua Xia, 2019. "Assessment of the Irrigation Water Requirement and Water Supply Risk in the Tarim River Basin, Northwest China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(18), pages 1-16, September.
    5. Mengran Fu & Bin Guo & Weijiao Wang & Juan Wang & Lihua Zhao & Jianlin Wang, 2019. "Comprehensive Assessment of Water Footprints and Water Scarcity Pressure for Main Crops in Shandong Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-18, March.
    6. Yang Wang & Shuai Zhang & Xueer Chang, 2020. "Evapotranspiration Estimation Based on Remote Sensing and the SEBAL Model in the Bosten Lake Basin of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.

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