IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v17y2025i7p2950-d1621319.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Ecosystem Service Value Based on the Framework of “Risk-Association-Driver”: A Case Study of Panjin City

Author

Listed:
  • Qiaoyu Wang

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

  • Li Wang

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

  • Qiang Wu

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

  • Peng Du

    (School of Geographical Sciences, Liaoning Normal University, Dalian 116029, China)

Abstract

This study adopts the “Risk-Association-Driver” framework to construct a sustainable security evaluation framework from the three dimensions of ecosystem service value, ecological risk, and drivers, with the aim of providing recommendations for regional ecosystem function enhancement and ecological risk prevention and control and promoting regional sustainable development. Google Earth Engine was used to extract Panjin City’s land use change data from 2010 to 2023. Furthermore, this paper combines the Equivalent Factor Approach and the Ecological Risk Model to analyze the dynamic changes of ecosystem service value and ecological risk. The spatial and temporal correlations, spatial clustering patterns, and driving variables of ecological risks and ecosystem service values in the research area were explored using GeoDa tools and Geo-detectors. The investigation shows that (1) The ecological risk index showed a gradual declining trend, with an overall decrease of 8.44%, indicating that the regional ecological security issue had improved. From 2010 to 2023, the total value of ecosystem services in Panjin City continued to rise, increasing from 27.923 billion CNY to 30.488 billion CNY; (2) The value of ecosystem services per unit area and the ecological risk index has strong positive hierarchical correlations and some positive spatial correlations; and (3) Land use types and anthropogenic impact indices are important drivers of spatial variation in ecosystem service values and ecological risks in the study area. The framework and methodology of this paper help to understand ecosystem dynamics and identify potential risks, which is significant for promoting sustainable regional development.

Suggested Citation

  • Qiaoyu Wang & Li Wang & Qiang Wu & Peng Du, 2025. "Analysis of Spatial and Temporal Evolution of Ecosystem Service Value Based on the Framework of “Risk-Association-Driver”: A Case Study of Panjin City," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(7), pages 1-25, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:7:p:2950-:d:1621319
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/7/2950/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/17/7/2950/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anzaldua, Gerardo & Gerner, Nadine V. & Lago, Manuel & Abhold, Katrina & Hinzmann, Mandy & Beyer, Sarah & Winking, Caroline & Riegels, Niels & Krogsgaard Jensen, Jørgen & Termes, Montserrat & Amorós, , 2018. "Getting into the water with the Ecosystem Services Approach: The DESSIN ESS evaluation framework," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 30(PB), pages 318-326.
    2. Kreuter, Urs P. & Harris, Heather G. & Matlock, Marty D. & Lacey, Ronald E., 2001. "Change in ecosystem service values in the San Antonio area, Texas," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 333-346, December.
    3. Brander, L.M. & de Groot, R. & Schägner, J.P. & Guisado-Goñi, V. & van 't Hoff, V. & Solomonides, S. & McVittie, A. & Eppink, F. & Sposato, M. & Do, L. & Ghermandi, A. & Sinclair, M. & Thomas, R., 2024. "Economic values for ecosystem services: A global synthesis and way forward," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    4. Nan Hu & Dong Xu & Ning Zou & Shuxin Fan & Peiyan Wang & Yunyuan Li, 2022. "Multi-Scenario Simulations of Land Use and Habitat Quality Based on a PLUS-InVEST Model: A Case Study of Baoding, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
    5. Srijana Shrestha & Khem Narayan Poudyal & Nawraj Bhattarai & Mohan B. Dangi & John J. Boland, 2022. "An Assessment of the Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Change on the Degradation of Ecosystem Service Values in Kathmandu Valley Using Remote Sensing and GIS," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, November.
    6. David Houéwanou Ahoton & Taofic Bacharou & Aymar Yaovi Bossa & Luc Ollivier Sintondji & Benjamin Bonkoungou & Voltaire Midakpo Alofa, 2024. "Dynamics of Irrigated Land Expansion in the Ouémé River Basin Using Field and Remote Sensing Data in the Google Earth Engine," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-17, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Srijana Shrestha & Khem Narayan Poudyal & Nawraj Bhattarai & Mohan B. Dangi & John J. Boland, 2022. "An Assessment of the Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Change on the Degradation of Ecosystem Service Values in Kathmandu Valley Using Remote Sensing and GIS," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-18, November.
    2. Gerner, Nadine V. & Nafo, Issa & Winking, Caroline & Wencki, Kristina & Strehl, Clemens & Wortberg, Timo & Niemann, André & Anzaldua, Gerardo & Lago, Manuel & Birk, Sebastian, 2018. "Large-scale river restoration pays off: A case study of ecosystem service valuation for the Emscher restoration generation project," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 30(PB), pages 327-338.
    3. Duy X. Tran & Diane Pearson & Alan Palmer & David Gray, 2020. "Developing a Landscape Design Approach for the Sustainable Land Management of Hill Country Farms in New Zealand," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-29, June.
    4. Yanan Yu & Bin Fu & Jingjing Liu, 2025. "Assessment of the Biodiversity Value of Benthic Macroinvertebrates in the Tuojiang River Basin, Chengdu," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-28, January.
    5. Jing Duan & Pu Shi & Yuanyuan Yang & Dongyan Wang, 2024. "Spatiotemporal Change Analysis and Multi-Scenario Modeling of Ecosystem Service Values: A Case Study of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Urban Agglomeration, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-21, October.
    6. Tariq Aziz & Alain-Désiré Nimubona & Philippe Van Cappellen, 2023. "Comparative Valuation of Three Ecosystem Services in a Canadian Watershed Using Global, Regional, and Local Unit Values," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    7. Evan Elderbrock & Chris Enright & Kathryn A. Lynch & Alexandra R. Rempel, 2020. "A Guide to Public Green Space Planning for Urban Ecosystem Services," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-23, October.
    8. J. Carl Ureta & Lucas Clay & Marzieh Motallebi & Joan Ureta, 2020. "Quantifying the Landscape’s Ecological Benefits—An Analysis of the Effect of Land Cover Change on Ecosystem Services," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-20, December.
    9. Yuanyuan Mao & Lingli Hou & Zhengdong Zhang, 2021. "Spatial-Temporal Evolution and Relationship between Urbanization Level and Ecosystem Service from a Dual-Scale Perspective: A Case Study of the Pearl River Delta Urban Agglomeration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-20, July.
    10. Xinmin Zhang & Hualin Xie & Jiaying Shi & Tiangui Lv & Caihua Zhou & Wangda Liu, 2020. "Assessing Changes in Ecosystem Service Values in Response to Land Cover Dynamics in Jiangxi Province, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-15, April.
    11. Xiaodong Jing & Yuchen He & Yuanyuan Sun & Mark Wang & Xiuzhe Wang, 2024. "Spatial–Temporal Divergence and Coupling Analysis of Land Use Change and Ecosystem Service Value in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-20, August.
    12. Yang, Wei, 2011. "A multi-objective optimization approach to allocate environmental flows to the artificially restored wetlands of China's Yellow River Delta," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 261-267.
    13. Caiyao Xu & Lijie Pu & Ming Zhu & Jianguo Li & Xinjian Chen & Xiaohan Wang & Xuefeng Xie, 2016. "Ecological Security and Ecosystem Services in Response to Land Use Change in the Coastal Area of Jiangsu, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(8), pages 1-24, August.
    14. Sipei Pan & Jiale Liang & Wanxu Chen & Jiangfeng Li & Ziqi Liu, 2021. "Gray Forecast of Ecosystem Services Value and Its Driving Forces in Karst Areas of China: A Case Study in Guizhou Province, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(23), pages 1-20, November.
    15. Muluberhan Biedemariam & Emiru Birhane & Biadgilgn Demissie & Tewodros Tadesse & Girmay Gebresamuel & Solomon Habtu, 2022. "Ecosystem Service Values as Related to Land Use and Land Cover Changes in Ethiopia: A Review," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-21, December.
    16. Shuxiang Li & Shuhua Ma, 2024. "A Quantitative Analysis on the Coordination of Regional Ecological and Economic Development Based on the Ecosystem Service Evaluation," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-21, February.
    17. Schägner, Jan Philipp & Brander, Luke & Maes, Joachim & Hartje, Volkmar, 2013. "Mapping ecosystem services' values: Current practice and future prospects," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 4(C), pages 33-46.
    18. Md. Mostafizur Rahman & György Szabó, 2021. "Impact of Land Use and Land Cover Changes on Urban Ecosystem Service Value in Dhaka, Bangladesh," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-27, July.
    19. Jan Philipp Schägner & Luke Brander & Joachim Maes & Volkmar Hartje, 2012. "Mapping Ecosystem Services’ Values: Current Practice and Future Prospects," Working Papers 2012.59, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    20. Damien Sinonmatohou Tiando & Shougeng Hu & Xin Fan & Muhammad Rashid Ali, 2021. "Tropical Coastal Land-Use and Land Cover Changes Impact on Ecosystem Service Value during Rapid Urbanization of Benin, West Africa," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(14), pages 1-16, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:17:y:2025:i:7:p:2950-:d:1621319. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.