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Simulation and Spatio-Temporal Variation Characteristics of LULC in the Context of Urbanization Construction and Ecological Restoration in the Yellow River Basin

Author

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  • Can Yang

    (School of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Key Laboratory of State Forestry Administration on Soil and Water Conservation and Desertification Combating, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Jixian Research Station for Forest Ecosystem, CFERN/CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Tianxing Wei

    (School of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Key Laboratory of State Forestry Administration on Soil and Water Conservation and Desertification Combating, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Jixian Research Station for Forest Ecosystem, CFERN/CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China)

  • Yiran Li

    (School of Soil and Water Conservation, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Key Laboratory of State Forestry Administration on Soil and Water Conservation and Desertification Combating, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
    Jixian Research Station for Forest Ecosystem, CFERN/CNERN, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China)

Abstract

The Yellow River Basin (YRB), located in the northern region of China, has a fragile ecological environment. With the construction of urbanization and ecological restoration projects, the YRB LULC has undergone significant change. In this study, we used the coupled Markov-FLUS model by combining natural and social driver factors to predict and simulate the LULC of the YRB in 2030, and then the LULC transfer matrix was used to analyze the characteristics of LULC change in the YRB from 1990 to 2030. The results of the study are as follows. (1) For the simulated result of LULC compared with the same period observed result, the Kappa coefficient is 0.92, indicating the coupled Markov-FLUS model has good applicability in the YRB. (2) The LULC in the YRB shows significant spatial autocorrelation. The cropland is mainly distributed in the eastern region, which is dominated by plain; woodland is mainly distributed in the central region; grassland is mainly distributed in the northern, central, and western region; waterbody is mainly distributed in the western region; built-up land is mainly distributed in the northern, south-central, and eastern region; unused land is mainly distributed in the central, northern, and western region. (3) From 1990 to 2000, the area of cropland transferred in significantly and the area of grassland transferred out significantly; from 2000 to 2015, the area of construction land transferred in significantly and the area of cultivated land transferred out significantly; from 2015 to 2030, the amount of cropland transferred out will be large, and the conversion of each other LULC type will be not significant compared with the previous periods, and the conversion structure of LULC will tend to be stable. This study is a crucial reference value for the high-quality development of the Yellow River Basin.

Suggested Citation

  • Can Yang & Tianxing Wei & Yiran Li, 2022. "Simulation and Spatio-Temporal Variation Characteristics of LULC in the Context of Urbanization Construction and Ecological Restoration in the Yellow River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-19, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:14:y:2022:i:2:p:789-:d:722376
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shannon M. Sterling & Agnès Ducharne & Jan Polcher, 2013. "The impact of global land-cover change on the terrestrial water cycle," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(4), pages 385-390, April.
    2. Zhenfeng Shao & Lin Ding & Deren Li & Orhan Altan & Md. Enamul Huq & Congmin Li, 2020. "Exploring the Relationship between Urbanization and Ecological Environment Using Remote Sensing Images and Statistical Data: A Case Study in the Yangtze River Delta, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(14), pages 1-28, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ji He & Yu-Rong Wan & Hai-Tao Chen & Song-Lin Wang, 2022. "Effects of Land Use Change on Rainfall Erosion in Luojiang River Basin, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-13, July.
    2. Shuo Yang & Hao Su, 2022. "Multi-Scenario Simulation of Ecosystem Service Values in the Guanzhong Plain Urban Agglomeration, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-23, July.
    3. Zheng Zang & Yuqing Zhang & Xu Xi, 2022. "Analysis of the Gross Ecosystem Product—Gross Domestic Product Synergistic States, Evolutionary Process, and Their Regional Contribution to the Chinese Mainland," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-14, May.
    4. Zhongwu Zhang & Jinyuan Zhang & Liping Liu & Jian Gong & Jinqiang Li & Lei Kang, 2023. "Spatial–Temporal Heterogeneity of Urbanization and Ecosystem Services in the Yellow River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-20, February.
    5. Jian Zhou & Shan Jiang & Sanjit Kumar Mondal & Jinlong Huang & Buda Su & Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz & Ziyan Chen & Runhong Xu & Tong Jiang, 2022. "China’s Socioeconomic and CO 2 Status Concerning Future Land-Use Change under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-17, March.

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