IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v13y2021i23p13235-d691042.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Estimating the Long-Term Reliability of Steel and Cast Iron Pipelines Subject to Pitting Corrosion

Author

Listed:
  • Robert E. Melchers

    (Centre for Infrastructure Performance and Reliability, The University of Newcastle, Callaghan 2308, Australia)

  • Mukshed Ahammed

    (Centre for Infrastructure Performance and Reliability, The University of Newcastle, Callaghan 2308, Australia)

Abstract

Water-injection, oil production and water-supply pipelines are prone to pitting corrosion that may have a serious effect on their longer-term serviceability and sustainability. Typically, observed pit-depth data are handled for a reliability analysis using an extreme value distribution such as Gumbel. Available data do not always fit such monomodal probability distributions well, particularly in the most extreme pit-depth region, irrespective of the type of pipeline. Examples of this are presented, the reasons for this phenomenon are discussed and a rationale is presented for the otherwise entirely empirical use of the ‘domain of attraction’ in extreme value applications. This permits a more rational estimation of the probability of pipe-wall perforation, which is necessary for asset management and for system-sustainability decisions.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert E. Melchers & Mukshed Ahammed, 2021. "Estimating the Long-Term Reliability of Steel and Cast Iron Pipelines Subject to Pitting Corrosion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-10, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:23:p:13235-:d:691042
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/23/13235/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/13/23/13235/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anne‐Laure Fougères & John P. Nolan & Holger Rootzén, 2009. "Models for Dependent Extremes Using Stable Mixtures," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 36(1), pages 42-59, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Enkelejd Hashorva & Simone A. Padoan & Stefano Rizzelli, 2021. "Multivariate extremes over a random number of observations," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 48(3), pages 845-880, September.
    2. Kiriliouk, Anna, 2020. "Hypothesis testing for tail dependence parameters on the boundary of the parameter space," Econometrics and Statistics, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 121-135.
    3. Anthony Medford, 2021. "Modeling Best Practice Life Expectancy Using Gumbel Autoregressive Models," Risks, MDPI, vol. 9(3), pages 1-10, March.
    4. Segers, Johan, 2012. "Max-Stable Models For Multivariate Extremes," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2012011, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    5. Sabourin, Anne, 2015. "Semi-parametric modeling of excesses above high multivariate thresholds with censored data," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 126-146.
    6. Samuel A. Morris & Brian J. Reich & Emeric Thibaud, 2019. "Exploration and Inference in Spatial Extremes Using Empirical Basis Functions," Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, Springer;The International Biometric Society;American Statistical Association, vol. 24(4), pages 555-572, December.
    7. Bernhart German & Mai Jan-Frederik & Scherer Matthias, 2015. "On the construction of low-parametric families of min-stable multivariate exponential distributions in large dimensions," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 3(1), pages 1-18, May.
    8. Mai, Jan-Frederik, 2018. "Extreme-value copulas associated with the expected scaled maximum of independent random variables," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 50-61.
    9. Fougères, Anne-Laure & Mercadier, Cécile & Nolan, John P., 2013. "Dense classes of multivariate extreme value distributions," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 109-129.
    10. Goix, Nicolas & Sabourin, Anne & Clémençon, Stephan, 2017. "Sparse representation of multivariate extremes with applications to anomaly detection," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 12-31.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:13:y:2021:i:23:p:13235-:d:691042. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.