IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v11y2019i15p4215-d254719.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Stochastic Analysis of Embodied Carbon Dioxide Emissions Considering Variability of Construction Sites

Author

Listed:
  • Dongyoun Lee

    (School of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Korea University, 145, Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Korea)

  • Goune Kang

    (Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, 283 Goyang-daero, Ilsanseo-gu, Goyang, Gyeonggi 10223, Korea)

  • Chulu Nam

    (Deajeon-Sejong-Chungnam Headquarters, Korea Electric Power Corporation, 170, Songchonnam-ro 11beon-gil, Dong-gu, Daejeon 34537, Korea)

  • Hunhee Cho

    (School of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Korea University, 145, Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Korea)

  • Kyung-In Kang

    (School of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Korea University, 145, Anam-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Korea)

Abstract

The current method of estimating CO 2 emissions during the construction phase does not consider the variability that can occur in actual work. Therefore, this study aims at probabilistic CO 2 estimation dealing with the statistical characteristics in activity data of building construction work, focused on concrete pouring work and based on field data. The probabilistically estimated CO 2 emissions have some differences from CO 2 emissions measured by current deterministic methods. The results revealed that the minimum difference was 11.4%, and the maximum difference was 132.7%. This study also used Monte Carlo simulations to derive information on a probability model of CO 2 emissions. Results of the analysis revealed that there is a risk of underestimating emissions because the amount of emissions was estimated at a level that exceeds the 95% confidence interval of the simulation results. In addition, the probability that CO 2 emissions using the measured activities data were less than the estimated CO 2 emissions using the bill of quantity was 73.2% in the probability distribution model.

Suggested Citation

  • Dongyoun Lee & Goune Kang & Chulu Nam & Hunhee Cho & Kyung-In Kang, 2019. "Stochastic Analysis of Embodied Carbon Dioxide Emissions Considering Variability of Construction Sites," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-12, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:15:p:4215-:d:254719
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/15/4215/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/11/15/4215/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Geng, Shengnan & Wang, Yuan & Zuo, Jian & Zhou, Zhihua & Du, Huibin & Mao, Guozhu, 2017. "Building life cycle assessment research: A review by bibliometric analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 176-184.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Aylin Ece Kayabekir & Zülal Akbay Arama & Gebrail Bekdaş & Sinan Melih Nigdeli & Zong Woo Geem, 2020. "Eco-Friendly Design of Reinforced Concrete Retaining Walls: Multi-objective Optimization with Harmony Search Applications," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-30, July.
    2. Marinella Giunta & Dario Lo Bosco & Giovanni Leonardi & Francesco Scopelliti, 2019. "Estimation of Gas and Dust Emissions in Construction Sites of a Motorway Project," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-14, December.
    3. Muhandiramge Nimashi Navodana Rodrigo & Srinath Perera & Sepani Senaratne & Xiaohua Jin, 2021. "Review of Supply Chain Based Embodied Carbon Estimating Method: A Case Study Based Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-20, August.
    4. Víctor Yepes & José V. Martí & José García, 2020. "Black Hole Algorithm for Sustainable Design of Counterfort Retaining Walls," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-18, April.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Patricia González-Vallejo & Radu Muntean & Jaime Solís-Guzmán & Madelyn Marrero, 2020. "Carbon Footprint of Dwelling Construction in Romania and Spain. A Comparative Analysis with the OERCO2 Tool," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-22, August.
    2. Yahong Dong & Md. Uzzal Hossain & Hongyang Li & Peng Liu, 2021. "Developing Conversion Factors of LCIA Methods for Comparison of LCA Results in the Construction Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-16, August.
    3. Seungjun Roh & Sungho Tae & Rakhyun Kim, 2018. "Analysis of Embodied Environmental Impacts of Korean Apartment Buildings Considering Major Building Materials," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-17, May.
    4. Eloise Leonora Gnoatto & Andreza Kalbusch & Elisa Henning, 2019. "Evaluation of the Environmental and Economic Impacts on the Life Cycle of Different Solutions for Toilet Flush Systems," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-12, August.
    5. Cellura, Maurizio & Guarino, Francesco & Longo, Sonia & Mistretta, Marina, 2017. "Modeling the energy and environmental life cycle of buildings: A co-simulation approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 733-742.
    6. Hache, Emmanuel & Palle, Angélique, 2019. "Renewable energy source integration into power networks, research trends and policy implications: A bibliometric and research actors survey analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 23-35.
    7. Shuowen Zhou & Min Zhou & Yuanfeng Wang & Yuanlin Gao & Yinshan Liu & Chengcheng Shi & Yongmao Lu & Tong Zhou, 2020. "Bibliometric and Social Network Analysis of Civil Engineering Sustainability Research from 2015 to 2019," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-18, August.
    8. Jaime Solís-Guzmán & Cristina Rivero-Camacho & Desirée Alba-Rodríguez & Alejandro Martínez-Rocamora, 2018. "Carbon Footprint Estimation Tool for Residential Buildings for Non-Specialized Users: OERCO2 Project," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-15, April.
    9. Goune Kang & Hunhee Cho & Dongyoun Lee, 2019. "Dynamic Lifecycle Assessment in Building Construction Projects: Focusing on Embodied Emissions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-16, July.
    10. Rabbat, Christelle & Awad, Sary & Villot, Audrey & Rollet, Delphine & Andrès, Yves, 2022. "Sustainability of biomass-based insulation materials in buildings: Current status in France, end-of-life projections and energy recovery potentials," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    11. Seungjun Roh & Sungho Tae & Rakhyun Kim & Suroh Park, 2019. "Probabilistic Analysis of Major Construction Materials in the Life Cycle Embodied Environmental Cost of Korean Apartment Buildings," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-13, February.
    12. Nguyen, Ai Linh & Liu, Wenyuan & Khor, Khiam Aik & Nanetti, Andrea & Cheong, Siew Ann, 2020. "The golden eras of graphene science and technology: Bibliographic evidences from journal and patent publications," Journal of Informetrics, Elsevier, vol. 14(4).
    13. Adolpho Guido de Araújo & Arnaldo Manoel Pereira Carneiro & Rachel Perez Palha, 2020. "Predictive Methodology for the Quantification of Environmental Aspects in Urban Infrastructures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-25, September.
    14. Li, Clyde Zhengdao & Lai, Xulu & Xiao, Bing & Tam, Vivian W.Y. & Guo, Shan & Zhao, Yiyu, 2020. "A holistic review on life cycle energy of buildings: An analysis from 2009 to 2019," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    15. Madelyn Marrero & Maciej Wojtasiewicz & Alejandro Martínez-Rocamora & Jaime Solís-Guzmán & M. Desirée Alba-Rodríguez, 2020. "BIM-LCA Integration for the Environmental Impact Assessment of the Urbanization Process," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-24, May.
    16. Seungjun Roh & Sungho Tae & Rakhyun Kim, 2018. "Developing a Green Building Index (GBI) Certification System to Effectively Reduce Carbon Emissions in South Korea’s Building Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-17, June.
    17. Maximilian Schildt & Johannes Linus Cuypers & Maxim Shamovich & Sonja Tamara Herzogenrath & Avichal Malhotra & Christoph Alban van Treeck & Jérôme Frisch, 2023. "On the Potential of District-Scale Life Cycle Assessments of Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(15), pages 1-33, July.
    18. Mona Abouhamad & Metwally Abu-Hamd, 2020. "Life Cycle Environmental Assessment of Light Steel Framed Buildings with Cement-Based Walls and Floors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-17, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:11:y:2019:i:15:p:4215-:d:254719. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.