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Measurement and Prediction of Regional Tourism Sustainability: An Analysis of the Yangtze River Economic Zone, China

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  • Canmian Liu

    (Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

  • Ruyun Zhang

    (Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

  • Min Wang

    (Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

  • Jing Xu

    (Business School, Sichuan University, Chengdu 610065, China)

Abstract

In view of sustainable development of tourism, this paper firstly constructs a more comprehensive and scientific index system from the economical/societal/resource-related/environmental aspects of tourism and evaluates the sustainable and comprehensive development level of tourism in 11 provinces and cities of the Yangtze River economic zone by using the weighted TOPSIS (The Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution ) method; secondly, it analyzes the coupling coordination evolution relationship between tourism and the economy/society/resources/environment in different provinces and cities of the Yangtze river economic zone based on the coupling coordination model from the spatio-temporal dimension; and finally, it predicts the coupling coordination degree of the provinces and cities in the region in the next few years by the grey model (1,1) and puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions. According to the study, this method provides an effective reference to the study on the sustainable development of tourism and is very significant for learning the sustainable development of regional tourism and establishing specific and scientific countermeasures for improvement.

Suggested Citation

  • Canmian Liu & Ruyun Zhang & Min Wang & Jing Xu, 2018. "Measurement and Prediction of Regional Tourism Sustainability: An Analysis of the Yangtze River Economic Zone, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-20, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:5:p:1321-:d:143044
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Katarína ?ulková & Mária Jano?ková & Adriana Csikósová, 2019. "Prediction of tourism in the sustainable development of Carpatian region," Proceedings of Business and Management Conferences 8612326, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    3. Junfei Chen & Xiaoya Yu & Lei Qiu & Menghua Deng & Ran Dong, 2018. "Study on Vulnerability and Coordination of Water-Energy-Food System in Northwest China," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(10), pages 1-25, October.
    4. Min Wang & Xianli Zhao & Qunxi Gong & Zhigeng Ji, 2019. "Measurement of Regional Green Economy Sustainable Development Ability Based on Entropy Weight-Topsis-Coupling Coordination Degree—A Case Study in Shandong Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 11(1), pages 1-18, January.
    5. Ana León-Gómez & Daniel Ruiz-Palomo & Manuel A. Fernández-Gámez & Mercedes Raquel García-Revilla, 2021. "Sustainable Tourism Development and Economic Growth: Bibliometric Review and Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 13(4), pages 1-19, February.
    6. Ehsan Javanmardi & Sifeng Liu & Naiming Xie, 2020. "Exploring Grey Systems Theory-Based Methods and Applications in Sustainability Studies: A Systematic Review Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(11), pages 1-32, May.
    7. Yongquan Li & Rui Li & Wenqi Ruan & Chih-Hsing Liu, 2020. "Research of the Effect of Tourism Economic Contact on the Efficiency of the Tourism Industry," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(14), pages 1-16, July.
    8. Meicun Li & Chunmei Mao, 2019. "Spatial-Temporal Variance of Coupling Relationship between Population Modernization and Eco-Environment in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 11(4), pages 1-13, February.

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