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Assessment of the Effects of Urban Expansion on Terrestrial Carbon Storage: A Case Study in Xuzhou City, China

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  • Cheng Li

    (School of Resources and Geosciences, China University of Mining and Technology, Daxue Road 1, Xuzhou 221116, China)

  • Jie Zhao

    (Institute of the Belt and Road, Jiangsu Normal University, Heping Road 57, Xuzhou 221009, China)

  • Nguyen Xuan Thinh

    (Department of Spatial Information Management and Modelling, Faculty of Spatial Planning, TU Dortmund University, August-Schmidt-Str. 10, 44227 Dortmund, Germany)

  • Yantao Xi

    (School of Resources and Geosciences, China University of Mining and Technology, Daxue Road 1, Xuzhou 221116, China)

Abstract

Carbon storage is closely connected to the productivities and climate regulation capacities of ecosystems. Assessing the effects of urban expansion on carbon storage has become increasingly important for achieving urban sustainability. This study analyzed the effects of urban expansion on terrestrial carbon storage in Xuzhou City, China during 2000–2025. The cellular automata (CA) model was developed to simulate future urban expansion under three scenarios, namely, the business as usual (BAU), ecological protection (ECO), and planning strengthened (PLS) scenarios. The Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs (InVEST) model was further applied to explore the consequences of urban expansion on carbon storage. The results show that urban expansion resulted in 6.099 Tg of carbon storage loss from 2000–2015. Moreover, significant differences in the effects of the urban expansion scenarios on carbon storage were identified in terms of both magnitude and spatial pattern from 2015–2025. Compared with the other scenarios, the PLS scenario could be considered as a good option that would allow future development to achieve the objectives of the lowest carbon storage losses. The findings improve the understanding of the effects of urban expansion on carbon storage and may be used to support urban planning and management.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng Li & Jie Zhao & Nguyen Xuan Thinh & Yantao Xi, 2018. "Assessment of the Effects of Urban Expansion on Terrestrial Carbon Storage: A Case Study in Xuzhou City, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-17, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:3:p:647-:d:133980
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jiang, Weiguo & Deng, Yue & Tang, Zhenghong & Lei, Xuan & Chen, Zheng, 2017. "Modelling the potential impacts of urban ecosystem changes on carbon storage under different scenarios by linking the CLUE-S and the InVEST models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 345(C), pages 30-40.
    2. F Wu & C J Webster, 1998. "Simulation of Land Development through the Integration of Cellular Automata and Multicriteria Evaluation," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 25(1), pages 103-126, February.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Tong Lin & Dafang Wu & Muzhuang Yang & Peifang Ma & Yanyan Liu & Feng Liu & Ziying Gan, 2022. "Evolution and Simulation of Terrestrial Ecosystem Carbon Storage and Sustainability Assessment in Karst Areas: A Case Study of Guizhou Province," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(23), pages 1-19, December.
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    5. Kukkonen, M.O. & Khamis, M. & Muhammad, M.J. & Käyhkö, N. & Luoto, M., 2022. "Modeling direct above-ground carbon loss due to urban expansion in Zanzibar City Region, Tanzania," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
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