IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v10y2018i1p118-d125663.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Cost Forecasting of Substation Projects Based on Cuckoo Search Algorithm and Support Vector Machines

Author

Listed:
  • Dongxiao Niu

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Weibo Zhao

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Si Li

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Rongjun Chen

    (School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

Abstract

Accurate prediction of substation project cost is helpful to improve the investment management and sustainability. It is also directly related to the economy of substation project. Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) can decompose variables with non-stationary sequence signals into significant regularity and periodicity, which is helpful in improving the accuracy of prediction model. Adding the Gauss perturbation to the traditional Cuckoo Search (CS) algorithm can improve the searching vigor and precision of CS algorithm. Thus, the parameters and kernel functions of Support Vector Machines (SVM) model are optimized. By comparing the prediction results with other models, this model has higher prediction accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Dongxiao Niu & Weibo Zhao & Si Li & Rongjun Chen, 2018. "Cost Forecasting of Substation Projects Based on Cuckoo Search Algorithm and Support Vector Machines," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:1:p:118-:d:125663
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/1/118/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/10/1/118/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Rao Rao & Xingping Zhang & Zhiping Shi & Kaiyan Luo & Zhongfu Tan & Yifan Feng, 2014. "A Systematical Framework of Schedule Risk Management for Power Grid Engineering Projects’ Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(10), pages 1-30, October.
    2. Juntao Fan & Jin Wu & Weijing Kong & Yizhang Zhang & Mengdi Li & Yuan Zhang & Wei Meng & And Mengheng Zhang, 2017. "Predicting Bio-indicators of Aquatic Ecosystems Using the Support Vector Machine Model in the Taizi River, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-11, May.
    3. Makhloufi, Saida & Mekhaldi, Abdelouahab & Teguar, Madjid, 2016. "Three powerful nature-inspired algorithms to optimize power flow in Algeria's Adrar power system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 116(P1), pages 1117-1130.
    4. Shao, Zhen & Gao, Fei & Yang, Shan-Lin & Yu, Ben-gong, 2015. "A new semiparametric and EEMD based framework for mid-term electricity demand forecasting in China: Hidden characteristic extraction and probability density prediction," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 876-889.
    5. Yi Liang & Dongxiao Niu & Minquan Ye & Wei-Chiang Hong, 2016. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Improved Cuckoo Search," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-17, October.
    6. Nima Amjady & Oveis Abedinia, 2017. "Short Term Wind Power Prediction Based on Improved Kriging Interpolation, Empirical Mode Decomposition, and Closed-Loop Forecasting Engine," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-18, November.
    7. Kaijian He & Hongqian Wang & Jiangze Du & Yingchao Zou, 2016. "Forecasting Electricity Market Risk Using Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD)—Based Multiscale Methodology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(11), pages 1-11, November.
    8. Xiao, Liye & Shao, Wei & Yu, Mengxia & Ma, Jing & Jin, Congjun, 2017. "Research and application of a hybrid wavelet neural network model with the improved cuckoo search algorithm for electrical power system forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C), pages 203-222.
    9. Kaboli, S. Hr. Aghay & Selvaraj, J. & Rahim, N.A., 2016. "Long-term electric energy consumption forecasting via artificial cooperative search algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P1), pages 857-871.
    10. Weide Li & Xuan Yang & Hao Li & Lili Su, 2017. "Hybrid Forecasting Approach Based on GRNN Neural Network and SVR Machine for Electricity Demand Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-17, January.
    11. Jiyang Tian & Chuanzhe Li & Jia Liu & Fuliang Yu & Shuanghu Cheng & Nana Zhao & Wan Zurina Wan Jaafar, 2016. "Groundwater Depth Prediction Using Data-Driven Models with the Assistance of Gamma Test," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-17, October.
    12. Zhilong Wang & Chen Wang & Jie Wu, 2016. "Wind Energy Potential Assessment and Forecasting Research Based on the Data Pre-Processing Technique and Swarm Intelligent Optimization Algorithms," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-32, November.
    13. Jin-peng Liu & Chang-ling Li, 2017. "The Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Sperm Whale Algorithm and Wavelet Least Square Support Vector Machine with DWT-IR for Feature Selection," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-20, July.
    14. Mellal, Mohamed Arezki & Williams, Edward J., 2015. "Cuckoo optimization algorithm with penalty function for combined heat and power economic dispatch problem," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P2), pages 1711-1718.
    15. Yi Liang & Dongxiao Niu & Minquan Ye & Wei-Chiang Hong, 2016. "Correction: Liang, Y., et al. Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Wavelet Transform and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Improved Cuckoo Search. Energies 2016, 9 , 827," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-1, December.
    16. Huiru Zhao & Nana Li, 2015. "Risk Evaluation of a UHV Power Transmission Construction Project Based on a Cloud Model and FCE Method for Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-30, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xiaomin Xu & Luyao Peng & Zhengsen Ji & Shipeng Zheng & Zhuxiao Tian & Shiping Geng, 2021. "Research on Substation Project Cost Prediction Based on Sparrow Search Algorithm Optimized BP Neural Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(24), pages 1-17, December.
    2. Hongwei Wang & Yuansheng Huang & Chong Gao & Yuqing Jiang, 2019. "Cost Forecasting Model of Transformer Substation Projects Based on Data Inconsistency Rate and Modified Deep Convolutional Neural Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-21, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xing Zhang, 2018. "Short-Term Load Forecasting for Electric Bus Charging Stations Based on Fuzzy Clustering and Least Squares Support Vector Machine Optimized by Wolf Pack Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-18, June.
    2. Ibrahim Salem Jahan & Vaclav Snasel & Stanislav Misak, 2020. "Intelligent Systems for Power Load Forecasting: A Study Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-12, November.
    3. Wei Sun & Chongchong Zhang, 2018. "A Hybrid BA-ELM Model Based on Factor Analysis and Similar-Day Approach for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-18, May.
    4. Yancai Xiao & Ruolan Dai & Guangjian Zhang & Weijia Chen, 2017. "The Use of an Improved LSSVM and Joint Normalization on Temperature Prediction of Gearbox Output Shaft in DFWT," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-13, November.
    5. Ahmad, Tanveer & Chen, Huanxin, 2019. "Deep learning for multi-scale smart energy forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 98-112.
    6. Hu, Yusha & Li, Jigeng & Hong, Mengna & Ren, Jingzheng & Lin, Ruojue & Liu, Yue & Liu, Mengru & Man, Yi, 2019. "Short term electric load forecasting model and its verification for process industrial enterprises based on hybrid GA-PSO-BPNN algorithm—A case study of papermaking process," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1215-1227.
    7. Lu, Peng & Ye, Lin & Zhao, Yongning & Dai, Binhua & Pei, Ming & Tang, Yong, 2021. "Review of meta-heuristic algorithms for wind power prediction: Methodologies, applications and challenges," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    8. Liang, Yi & Niu, Dongxiao & Hong, Wei-Chiang, 2019. "Short term load forecasting based on feature extraction and improved general regression neural network model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 653-663.
    9. Chengshi Tian & Yan Hao, 2018. "A Novel Nonlinear Combined Forecasting System for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-34, March.
    10. Li, Chuan & Tao, Ying & Ao, Wengang & Yang, Shuai & Bai, Yun, 2018. "Improving forecasting accuracy of daily enterprise electricity consumption using a random forest based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PB), pages 1220-1227.
    11. Yue-Gang Song & Yu-Long Zhou & Ren-Jie Han, 2018. "Neural networks for stock price prediction," Papers 1805.11317, arXiv.org.
    12. Qin, Yong & Li, Kun & Liang, Zhanhao & Lee, Brendan & Zhang, Fuyong & Gu, Yongcheng & Zhang, Lei & Wu, Fengzhi & Rodriguez, Dragan, 2019. "Hybrid forecasting model based on long short term memory network and deep learning neural network for wind signal," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 262-272.
    13. Jin-peng Liu & Chang-ling Li, 2017. "The Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Sperm Whale Algorithm and Wavelet Least Square Support Vector Machine with DWT-IR for Feature Selection," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-20, July.
    14. Gao, Tian & Niu, Dongxiao & Ji, Zhengsen & Sun, Lijie, 2022. "Mid-term electricity demand forecasting using improved variational mode decomposition and extreme learning machine optimized by sparrow search algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    15. Huiting Zheng & Jiabin Yuan & Long Chen, 2017. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Using EMD-LSTM Neural Networks with a Xgboost Algorithm for Feature Importance Evaluation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-20, August.
    16. Jiu Gu & Yining Wang & Da Xie & Yu Zhang, 2019. "Wind Farm NWP Data Preprocessing Method Based on t-SNE," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-16, September.
    17. Afanasyev, Dmitriy O. & Fedorova, Elena A., 2019. "On the impact of outlier filtering on the electricity price forecasting accuracy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 196-210.
    18. Xilin Zhang & Yuejin Tan & Zhiwei Yang, 2018. "Rework Quantification and Influence of Rework on Duration and Cost of Equipment Development Task," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-16, October.
    19. Rahmani, Shima & Amjady, Nima, 2017. "A new optimal power flow approach for wind energy integrated power systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 349-359.
    20. Kailai Ni & Jianzhou Wang & Guangyu Tang & Danxiang Wei, 2019. "Research and Application of a Novel Hybrid Model Based on a Deep Neural Network for Electricity Load Forecasting: A Case Study in Australia," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-30, June.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:10:y:2018:i:1:p:118-:d:125663. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.