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Analyzing the Impact of Ungauged Hill Torrents on the Riverine Floods of the River Indus: A Case Study of Koh E Suleiman Mountains in the DG Khan and Rajanpur Districts of Pakistan

Author

Listed:
  • Maaz Saleem

    (US-Pakistan Center for Advanced Studies in Water, Mehran University of Engineering & Technology, Jamshoro 76090, Pakistan
    Sindh Irrigation Department, Government of Sindh, Mirpurkhas 69000, Pakistan)

  • Muhammad Arfan

    (US-Pakistan Center for Advanced Studies in Water, Mehran University of Engineering & Technology, Jamshoro 76090, Pakistan
    Centre for Climate and Environmental Research, Institute for Art and Culture, Lahore 55150, Pakistan)

  • Kamran Ansari

    (US-Pakistan Center for Advanced Studies in Water, Mehran University of Engineering & Technology, Jamshoro 76090, Pakistan)

  • Daniyal Hassan

    (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112, USA)

Abstract

Floods are one of the most destructive natural hazards in Pakistan, causing significant damage. During monsoons, when westerly winds and concentrated rainfall occur in rivers’ catchments, floods become unmanageable. Given the limited resources of Pakistan, there has been minimal effort to quantify the amount of rainfall and runoff generated by ungauged catchments. In this study, ten hill torrents in Koh e Suleiman (District Rajanpur and DG Khan), an area affected by flash flooding in 2022 due to extreme precipitation events, were investigated. The Hydrologic Engineering Centre’s Hydrologic Modeling System (HEC-HMS), a semi-distributed event-based hydrological model, was used to delineate streams and quantify runoff. Statistical analysis of the rainfall trends was performed using the non-parametric Gumbel extreme value analysis type I distribution, the Mann–Kendall test, and Sen’s slope. The results of the study show that the total inflow to the river Indus is 0.5, 0.6, 0.7, and 0.8 MAF for 25, 50, 100, and 200 years of return period rainfall, respectively. This study presents appropriate storage options with a retention potential of 0.14, 1.14, and 1.13 MAF based on an analysis of the hydrology of these hill torrents to enhance the spate irrigation potential as flood control in the future.

Suggested Citation

  • Maaz Saleem & Muhammad Arfan & Kamran Ansari & Daniyal Hassan, 2023. "Analyzing the Impact of Ungauged Hill Torrents on the Riverine Floods of the River Indus: A Case Study of Koh E Suleiman Mountains in the DG Khan and Rajanpur Districts of Pakistan," Resources, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-18, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jresou:v:12:y:2023:i:2:p:26-:d:1057213
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Muhammad Arfan & Jewell Lund & Daniyal Hassan & Maaz Saleem & Aftab Ahmed, 2019. "Erratum: Arfan M., et al. Assessment of Spatial and Temporal Flow Variability of the Indus River. Resources 2019, 8 , 103," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-1, August.
    2. Muhammad Arfan & Jewell Lund & Daniyal Hassan & Maaz Saleem & Aftab Ahmad, 2019. "Assessment of Spatial and Temporal Flow Variability of the Indus River," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(2), pages 1-17, May.
    3. Sisira S. Withanachchi & Annabelle Houdret & Soninkhishig Nergui & Elisabet Ejarque Gonzalez & Ankhbold Tsogtbayar & Angelika Ploeger, 2014. "(Re)configuration of Water Resources Management in Mongolia: A Critical Geopolitical Analysis," ICDD Working Papers 13, University of Kassel, Fachbereich Gesellschaftswissenschaften (Social Sciences), Internatioanl Center for Development and Decent Work (ICDD).
    4. Munir Ahmad, 2001. "Agricultural Productivity Growth Differential in Punjab, Pakistan: A District-level Analysis," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 40(1), pages 1-25.
    5. Bilal Ahmad Munir & Javed Iqbal, 2016. "Flash flood water management practices in Dera Ghazi Khan City (Pakistan): a remote sensing and GIS prospective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(2), pages 1303-1321, March.
    6. Bilal Munir & Javed Iqbal, 2016. "Flash flood water management practices in Dera Ghazi Khan City (Pakistan): a remote sensing and GIS prospective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 81(2), pages 1303-1321, March.
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