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Weather Conditions and Outdoor Fall Injuries in Northwestern Russia

Author

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  • Tatiana N. Unguryanu

    (Department of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, N-9037 Tromsø, Norway
    Arkhangelsk International School of Public Health, Troitsky Ave., 51, Northern State Medical University, 163000 Arkhangelsk, Russia)

  • Andrej M. Grjibovski

    (Arkhangelsk International School of Public Health, Troitsky Ave., 51, Northern State Medical University, 163000 Arkhangelsk, Russia
    Al-Farabi Kazakh National University, Almaty 050040, Kazakhstan
    West Kazakhstan Marat Ospanov State Medical University, Aktobe 030019, Kazakhstan
    Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University (Sechenov University), 119991 Moscow, Russia)

  • Tordis A. Trovik

    (Department of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, N-9037 Tromsø, Norway)

  • Børge Ytterstad

    (Department of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, N-9037 Tromsø, Norway)

  • Alexander V. Kudryavtsev

    (Department of Community Medicine, UiT The Arctic University of Norway, N-9037 Tromsø, Norway
    Arkhangelsk International School of Public Health, Troitsky Ave., 51, Northern State Medical University, 163000 Arkhangelsk, Russia)

Abstract

This study aimed to investigate associations between the weather conditions and the frequency of medically-treated, non-fatal accidental outdoor fall injuries (AOFIs) in a provincial region of Northwestern Russia. Data on all non-fatal AOFIs that occurred from January 2015 through June 2018 ( N = 1125) were extracted from the population-based Shenkursk Injury Registry (SHIR). Associations between the weather conditions and AOFIs were investigated separately for the cold (15 October–14 April) and the warm (15 April–14 October) seasons. Negative binomial regression was used to investigate daily numbers of AOFIs in the cold season, while zero-inflated Poisson regression was used for the warm season. The mean daily number of AOFIs was 1.7 times higher in the cold season compared to the warm season (1.10 vs. 0.65, respectively). The most typical accident mechanism in the cold season was slipping (83%), whereas stepping wrong or stumbling over something was most common (49%) in the warm season. The highest mean daily incidence of AOFIs in the cold season (20.2 per 100,000 population) was observed on days when the ground surface was covered by compact or wet snow, air temperature ranged from −7.0 °C to −0.7 °C, and the amount of precipitation was above 0.4 mm. In the warm season, the highest mean daily incidence (7.0 per 100,000 population) was observed when the air temperature and atmospheric pressure were between 9.0 °C and 15.1 °C and 1003.6 to 1010.9 hPa, respectively. Along with local weather forecasts, broadcasting warnings about the increased risks of outdoor falls may serve as an effective AOFI prevention tool.

Suggested Citation

  • Tatiana N. Unguryanu & Andrej M. Grjibovski & Tordis A. Trovik & Børge Ytterstad & Alexander V. Kudryavtsev, 2020. "Weather Conditions and Outdoor Fall Injuries in Northwestern Russia," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(17), pages 1-16, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:17:p:6096-:d:402249
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Élise Lépy & Sinikka Rantala & Antti Huusko & Pentti Nieminen & Marjo Hippi & Arja Rautio, 2016. "Role of Winter Weather Conditions and Slipperiness on Tourists’ Accidents in Finland," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-15, August.
    2. Li, W. & Keegan, T.H.M. & Sternfeld, B. & Sidney, S. & Quesenberry Jr., C.P. & Kelsey, J.L., 2006. "Outdoor falls among middle-aged and older adults: A neglected public health problem," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 96(7), pages 1192-1200.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Sungmin & Ye, Xinyue & Nam, Ji Won & Zhang, Kai, 2022. "The association between tree canopy cover over streets and elderly pedestrian falls: A health disparity study in urban areas," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 306(C).
    2. Timiryanova, Venera & Mchedlishvili, Aleksander & Lakman, Irina & Bakhitova, Railya & Abzalilova, Liya & Devyatkova, Galina, 2023. "Пространственные Факторы Непреднамеренных Падений В Зимний Период [Spatial factors of winter-related unintentional falls]," MPRA Paper 119208, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Marjo Hippi & Markku Kangas, 2022. "Impact of Weather on Pedestrians’ Slip Risk," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(5), pages 1-16, March.

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