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An Examination on the Transmission of COVID-19 and the Effect of Response Strategies: A Comparative Analysis

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  • Yi-Tui Chen

    (Department of Health Care Management, College of Health Technology, National Taipei University of Nursing and Health Sciences, Taipei 10845, Taiwan)

  • Yung-Feng Yen

    (Department of Health Care Management, College of Health Technology, National Taipei University of Nursing and Health Sciences, Taipei 10845, Taiwan
    Section of Infectious Diseases, Taipei City Hospital, Yangming Branch, Taipei 11146, Taiwan
    Institute of Public Health, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei 11221, Taiwan)

  • Shih-Heng Yu

    (Department of Business Management, National United University, Miaoli 36003, Taiwan)

  • Emily Chia-Yu Su

    (Graduate Institute of Biomedical Informatics, College of Medical Science and Technology, Taipei Medical University, Taipei 11031, Taiwan
    Clinical Big Data Research Center, Taipei Medical University Hospital, Taipei 11031, Taiwan)

Abstract

The major purpose of this paper was to examine the transmission of COVID-19 and the associated factors that affect the transmission. A qualitative analysis was conducted by comparing the COVID-19 transmission of six countries: China, Korea, Japan, Italy, the USA, and Brazil. This paper attempted to examine the mitigation effectiveness for the transmission of COVID-19 and the pandemic severity. Time to reach the peak of daily new confirmed cases and the maximum drop rate were used to measure the mitigation effectiveness, while the proportion of confirmed cases to population and the mortality rate were employed to evaluate the pandemic severity. Based on the mitigation effectiveness, the pandemic severity, and the mortality rate, the six sample countries were categorized into four types: high mitigation effectiveness vs. low pandemic severity, middle mitigation effectiveness vs. low pandemic severity, high mitigation effectiveness vs. high pandemic severity, and low mitigation effectiveness vs. high pandemic severity. The results found that Korea and China had relatively higher mitigation effectiveness and lower pandemic severity, while the USA and Brazil had the opposite. This paper suggests that viral testing together with contacts tracing, strict implementation of lockdown, and public cooperation play important roles in achieving a reduction in COVID-19 transmission.

Suggested Citation

  • Yi-Tui Chen & Yung-Feng Yen & Shih-Heng Yu & Emily Chia-Yu Su, 2020. "An Examination on the Transmission of COVID-19 and the Effect of Response Strategies: A Comparative Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-14, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2020:i:16:p:5687-:d:395428
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Reis, Ruy Freitas & de Melo Quintela, Bárbara & de Oliveira Campos, Joventino & Gomes, Johnny Moreira & Rocha, Bernardo Martins & Lobosco, Marcelo & Weber dos Santos, Rodrigo, 2020. "Characterization of the COVID-19 pandemic and the impact of uncertainties, mitigation strategies, and underreporting of cases in South Korea, Italy, and Brazil," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    2. Chimmula, Vinay Kumar Reddy & Zhang, Lei, 2020. "Time series forecasting of COVID-19 transmission in Canada using LSTM networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhongxiang Chen & Zhiquan Shu & Xiuxiang Huang & Ke Peng & Jiaji Pan, 2021. "Modelling Analysis of COVID-19 Transmission and the State of Emergency in Japan," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(13), pages 1-15, June.
    2. Yi-Tui Chen & Yung-Feng Yen & Shih-Heng Yu & Emily Chia-Yu Su, 2020. "A Flexible Lockdown by Integrating Public Health and Economic Reactivation to Response the Crisis of COVID-19: Responses to Comments by Alvaro J Idrovo on “An Examination on the Transmission of COVID-," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-4, November.
    3. Alvaro J. Idrovo, 2020. "Long but Unreal Lockdowns in Latin America. Comment on Chen, Y.T.; Yen, Y.F.; Yu, S.H.; Su, E.C. An Examination on the Transmission of COVID-19 and the Effect of Response Strategies: A Comparative Ana," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-2, November.
    4. Yanting Zheng & Jinyuan Huang & Qiuyue Yin, 2021. "What Are the Reasons for the Different COVID-19 Situations in Different Cities of China? A Study from the Perspective of Population Migration," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(6), pages 1-16, March.
    5. František Petrovič & Katarína Vilinová & Radovan Hilbert, 2021. "Analysis of Hazard Rate of Municipalities in Slovakia in Terms of COVID-19," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(17), pages 1-12, August.

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