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Exits from the European Union and Their Effect on Power Distribution in the Council

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Listed:
  • Dóra Gréta Petróczy

    (Department of Finance, Corvinus University of Budapest, 1093 Budapest, Hungary)

  • Mark Francis Rogers

    (Department of Mathematics, University of Manchester, Manchester M13 9PL, UK)

  • László Á. Kóczy

    (Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies, 1097 Budapest, Hungary
    Department of Finance, Faculty of Economic and Social Sciences, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, 1111 Budapest, Hungary)

Abstract

Debates on an EU-leaving referendum arose in several member states after Brexit. We want to highlight how the exit of an additional country affects the power distribution in the Council of the European Union. We inspect the power indices of the member states both with and without the country which might leave the union. Our results show a pattern connected to a change in the number of states required to meet the 55% threshold. An exit that modifies this number benefits the countries with high population, while an exit that does not cause such a change benefits the small member states. According to our calculations, only the exit of Poland would be supported by the qualified majority of the Council.

Suggested Citation

  • Dóra Gréta Petróczy & Mark Francis Rogers & László Á. Kóczy, 2022. "Exits from the European Union and Their Effect on Power Distribution in the Council," Games, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-25, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jgames:v:13:y:2022:i:1:p:18-:d:743774
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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