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Stacked Boosters Network Architecture for Short-Term Load Forecasting in Buildings

Author

Listed:
  • Tuukka Salmi

    (VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, FI-02044 Espoo, Finland)

  • Jussi Kiljander

    (VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, FI-02044 Espoo, Finland)

  • Daniel Pakkala

    (VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, FI-02044 Espoo, Finland)

Abstract

This paper presents a novel deep learning architecture for short-term load forecasting of building energy loads. The architecture is based on a simple base learner and multiple boosting systems that are modelled as a single deep neural network. The architecture transforms the original multivariate time series into multiple cascading univariate time series. Together with sparse interactions, parameter sharing and equivariant representations, this approach makes it possible to combat against overfitting while still achieving good presentation power with a deep network architecture. The architecture is evaluated in several short-term load forecasting tasks with energy data from an office building in Finland. The proposed architecture outperforms state-of-the-art load forecasting model in all the tasks.

Suggested Citation

  • Tuukka Salmi & Jussi Kiljander & Daniel Pakkala, 2020. "Stacked Boosters Network Architecture for Short-Term Load Forecasting in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-15, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:13:y:2020:i:9:p:2370-:d:355912
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jain, Rishee K. & Smith, Kevin M. & Culligan, Patricia J. & Taylor, John E., 2014. "Forecasting energy consumption of multi-family residential buildings using support vector regression: Investigating the impact of temporal and spatial monitoring granularity on performance accuracy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 168-178.
    2. Wong, S.L. & Wan, Kevin K.W. & Lam, Tony N.T., 2010. "Artificial neural networks for energy analysis of office buildings with daylighting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 551-557, February.
    3. Ke Yan & Xudong Wang & Yang Du & Ning Jin & Haichao Huang & Hangxia Zhou, 2018. "Multi-Step Short-Term Power Consumption Forecasting with a Hybrid Deep Learning Strategy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-15, November.
    4. Amasyali, Kadir & El-Gohary, Nora M., 2018. "A review of data-driven building energy consumption prediction studies," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1192-1205.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pekka Pääkkönen & Daniel Pakkala & Jussi Kiljander & Roope Sarala, 2020. "Architecture for Enabling Edge Inference via Model Transfer from Cloud Domain in a Kubernetes Environment," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-24, December.
    2. Pedro M. R. Bento & Jose A. N. Pombo & Maria R. A. Calado & Silvio J. P. S. Mariano, 2021. "Stacking Ensemble Methodology Using Deep Learning and ARIMA Models for Short-Term Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-21, November.
    3. Paiho, Satu & Kiljander, Jussi & Sarala, Roope & Siikavirta, Hanne & Kilkki, Olli & Bajpai, Arpit & Duchon, Markus & Pahl, Marc-Oliver & Wüstrich, Lars & Lübben, Christian & Kirdan, Erkin & Schindler,, 2021. "Towards cross-commodity energy-sharing communities – A review of the market, regulatory, and technical situation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    4. Lotta Kannari & Jussi Kiljander & Kalevi Piira & Jouko Piippo & Pekka Koponen, 2021. "Building Heat Demand Forecasting by Training a Common Machine Learning Model with Physics-Based Simulator," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(2), pages 1-13, April.

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