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Does the Unemployment Rate Really Overstate Labor Market Recovery?

Author

Listed:
  • Andreas Hornstein
  • Marianna Kudlyak
  • Fabian Lange
  • Timothy Sablik

Abstract

Unemployment rose dramatically during the 2007-09 recession, peaking at 10 percent in October 2009. It has fallen steadily since then, at times outpacing economists' forecasts. In April, unemployment reached 6.3 percent, about two-thirds of the way back to its prerecession level. Such progress is often a sign of recovery, but some observers question whether the unemployment rate accurately measures resource utilization in the current labor market.

Suggested Citation

  • Andreas Hornstein & Marianna Kudlyak & Fabian Lange & Timothy Sablik, 2014. "Does the Unemployment Rate Really Overstate Labor Market Recovery?," Richmond Fed Economic Brief, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue June.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedreb:00016
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    Cited by:

    1. Baert, Stijn, 2021. "The iceberg decomposition: A parsimonious way to map the health of labour markets," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 350-365.
    2. Andreas Hornstein & Marianna Kudlyak, 2016. "Generalized Matching Functions and Resource Utilization Indices for the Labor Market," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 2Q, pages 105-126.
    3. Andreas Hornstein & Marianna Kudlyak & Fabian Lange, 2014. "Measuring Resource Utilization in the Labor Market," Economic Quarterly, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond, issue 1Q, pages 1-21.

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