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Evidence on rationality and behavioural biases in investment decision making

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  • Satish Kumar
  • Nisha Goyal

Abstract

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to investigate the relationship between rational decision-making and behavioural biases among individual investors in India, as well as to examine the influence of demographic variables on rational decision-making process and how those differences manifest themselves in the form of behavioural biases. Design/methodology/approach - Using a structured questionnaire, a total of 386 valid responses have been collected from May to October 2015. Statistical techniques liket-test, analysis of variance (ANOVA) and Fisher’s least significant difference (LSD) test have been used in this study. Structural equation modelling (SEM) has been used to analyse the relationship between rational decision-making and behavioural biases. Findings - The findings show that the structural path model closely fits the sample data, indicating investors follow a rational decision-making process while investing. However, behavioural biases also arise in different stages of the decision-making process. It further explores that gender and income have a significant difference with respect to rational decision-making process. Male investors are more prone to overconfidence and herding bias in India. Research limitations/implications - The findings of the study have significant implication for the individual investors. It is recommended that if individuals are aware about the biases, they may become alert before taking irrational investment decisions. Originality/value - To best of the authors’ knowledge, the present study is a first of its kind to investigate the relationship between rational decision-making and behavioural biases among individual investors in India.

Suggested Citation

  • Satish Kumar & Nisha Goyal, 2016. "Evidence on rationality and behavioural biases in investment decision making," Qualitative Research in Financial Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 8(4), pages 270-287, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eme:qrfmpp:qrfm-05-2016-0016
    DOI: 10.1108/QRFM-05-2016-0016
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Saeed Ahmad Sabir & Hisham Bin Mohammad & Hanita Binti Kadir Shahar, 2019. "The Role of Overconfidence and Past Investment Experience in Herding Behaviour with a Moderating Effect of Financial Literacy: Evidence from Pakistan Stock Exchange," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(4), pages 480-490, April.
    2. George Obeng, 2019. "Behavioural Antecedents Complementing Classical Financial Models for Rational Decision Making," International Journal of Publication and Social Studies, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(2), pages 111-122, June.
    3. Mumtaz Hussain & Salma Sadiq & Muhammad Haroon Rasheed & Khurram Amin, 2022. "Exploring the Dynamics of Investors’ Decision Making in Pakistan Stock Market: A Study of Herding Behavior," Journal of Economic Impact, Science Impact Publishers, vol. 4(1), pages 165-173.
    4. Dunne, Timothy C. & Clark, Brent B. & Berns, John P. & McDowell, William C., 2019. "The technology bias in entrepreneur-investor negotiations," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 258-269.
    5. Benomar Ikram & Ben El Haj Fouad & Chelh Sara, 2023. "An Exploration of Overconfidence and the Disposition Effect in the Stock Market," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-19, June.
    6. Mohmed Y. Mohmed Al-Sabaawi & Bassam A. Alyouzbaky, 2022. "The Impact of Information Technology Infrastructure Flexibility and Behavioral Biases on Investment Decision Making," International Journal of Enterprise Information Systems (IJEIS), IGI Global, vol. 18(1), pages 1-22, January.
    7. Legenzova Renata & Leckė Gintarė, 2022. "Exploring Lithuanian Real Estate Crowdfunding Investors’ Rationality," Management of Organizations: Systematic Research, Sciendo, vol. 87(1), pages 83-102, June.
    8. Bastian Schulz, 2023. "Behavioral Finance and how its Behavioral Biases Affect German Investors," ACTA VSFS, University of Finance and Administration, vol. 17(1), pages 39-59.
    9. Hind Lebdaoui & Youssef Chetioui & Elias Guechi, 2021. "The Impact of Behavioral Biases on Investment Performance: Does Financial Literacy Matter?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(3), pages 13-21.
    10. Tahira Iram & Ahmad Raza Bilal & Zeshan Ahmad & Shahid Latif, 2023. "Does Financial Mindfulness Make a Difference? A Nexus of Financial Literacy and Behavioural Biases in Women Entrepreneurs," IIM Kozhikode Society & Management Review, , vol. 12(1), pages 7-21, January.
    11. Aarju Poudel & Sudip Bhusal & Durga Datt Pathak, 2024. "Behaviour Bias and Investment Decision in Nepalese Investors," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 19(2), pages 1-85, March.

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