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Multifractality during upside/downside trends in the MENA stock markets: the effects of the global financial crisis, oil crash and COVID-19 pandemic

Author

Listed:
  • Walid Mensi
  • Imran Yousaf
  • Xuan Vinh Vo
  • Sang Hoon Kang

Abstract

Purpose - This paper examines asymmetric multifractality (A-MF) in the leading Middle East and North Africa (MENA) stock markets under different turbulent periods (global financial crisis [GFC] and European sovereign debt crisis [ESDC], oil price crash and COVID-19 pandemic). Design/methodology/approach - This study applies the asymmetric multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (A-MF-DFA) method of Caoet al.(2013) to identify A-MF and MENA stock market efficiency during the COVID-19 pandemic. Findings - The results show strong evidence of different patterns of MF during upward and downward trends. Inefficiency is higher during upward trends than during downward trends in most of the stock markets in the whole sample period, and the opposite is true during financial crises. The Turkish stock market is the least inefficient during upward and downward trends. A-MF intensifies with an increase in scales. The evolution of excessive A-MF for MENA stock returns is heterogeneous. Most of the stock markets are more inefficient during a pandemic crisis than during an oil crash and other financial crises. However, the inefficiency of the Saudi Arabia and Qatar stock markets is highly sensitive to oil price crashes. Overall, the level of inefficiency varies across market trends, scales and stock markets and over time. The findings of this study provide investors and policymakers with valuable insights into efficient investment strategies, risk management and financial stability. Originality/value - This paper first explores A-MF in the MENA emerging stock markets. The A-MF analysis provides useful information to investors regarding asset allocation, portfolio risk management and investment strategies during bullish and bearish market states. In addition, this paper examines A-MF under different turbulent periods, such as the GFC, the ESDC, the 2014–2016 oil crash and the COVID-19 pandemic.

Suggested Citation

  • Walid Mensi & Imran Yousaf & Xuan Vinh Vo & Sang Hoon Kang, 2022. "Multifractality during upside/downside trends in the MENA stock markets: the effects of the global financial crisis, oil crash and COVID-19 pandemic," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 18(10), pages 4408-4435, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:eme:ijoemp:ijoem-08-2021-1177
    DOI: 10.1108/IJOEM-08-2021-1177
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Evžen Kočenda & Michala Moravcová & Evžen Kocenda, 2024. "Frequency Volatility Connectedness and Portfolio Hedging of U.S. Energy Commodities," CESifo Working Paper Series 10889, CESifo.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    MENA markets; Efficiency; Crises; Asymmetric MF-DFA; G14;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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