IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Guatemala: Los desafíos del crecimiento


  • Larraín B., Felipe

    (Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile)


This paper analyzes the episodes of economic growth in Guatemala over the last fifty years, with special emphasis in the post-1999 deceleration. The results show two important facts. First, there are good reasons to believe that this phenomenon may be temporary. Second, the post-1999 deceleration has an internal component linked to deteriorated competitiveness and lower levels of efficiency. Based on these results, we conclude that important reforms must be made in areas related to the absorption of new technologies, economic regulation, the public sector, financial markets, trade openness, and labor markets. These reforms are likely to result in greater levels of productivity and growth.// Este trabajo analiza los episodios de crecimiento de los pasados 50 años en la economía de Guatemala, con particular hincapié en la desaceleración post 1999. Los resultados presentan dos importantes matices. El primero es de carácter positivo y alude al hecho de que este fenómeno sería más bien temporal. Segundo, la desaceleración económica post 1999 tiene un componente interno relacionado con la falta de competitividad y la menor eficiencia. De esto último se infiere que deben realizarse reformas importantes en campos relacionados con la absorción de tecnologías, regulación económica, sector público, sector financiero, apertura, mercado laboral y pobreza, con el fin de promover mayor productividad y crecimiento.

Suggested Citation

  • Larraín B., Felipe, 2006. "Guatemala: Los desafíos del crecimiento," El Trimestre Económico, Fondo de Cultura Económica, vol. 0(291), pages 481-538, julio-sep.
  • Handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:73:y:2006:i:291:p:481-538

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no


    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.

    Cited by:

    1. Loening, Josef & Rao, B. Bhaskara & Singh, Rup, 2010. "Effects of schooling levels on economic growth: time-series evidence from Guatemala," MPRA Paper 25105, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 16 Sep 2010.

    More about this item


    economic growth; economic reforms; time-series models; Central America; medidas del crecimiento económico; reformas económicas; modelos de series de tiempo; Centroamérica;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O50 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - General


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:elt:journl:v:73:y:2006:i:291:p:481-538. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Rosa María González Mejía). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.