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Rolling bearing degradation stage division and RUL prediction based on recursive exponential slow feature analysis and Bi-LSTM model

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Xinliang
  • Zhang, Wan
  • Ding, Yu
  • Cai, Jun
  • Yan, Xiaoan

Abstract

Accurately predicting the remaining useful life (RUL) of rolling bearings is essential for effective system health management and maintenance in mechanical systems. Traditional RUL prediction methods often suffer from susceptibility to noise, leading to instability in feature extraction and inadequate capture of long-term change trends. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a rolling bearing RUL prediction method based on recursive exponential slow feature analysis (RESFA) and bidirectional long short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) network. Initially, the vibration signal is input into a convolutional neural network for health state classification, and the "3/5" principle is applied to determine the degradation starting (DS) point. Subsequently, features are extracted based on an autoencoder. Additionally, RESFA is utilized to extract long-term degradation trends within the system. Finally, the features extracted from the autoencoder and the slow feature are integrated, and the fused features are inputted into a Bi-LSTM model for accurate bearing RUL prediction. The efficacy of the proposed approach is validated using datasets from the IEEE PHM Prognostic Challenge, the XJTU-SY and ABLT-1A dataests. The prediction accuracy of the method proposed in this paper exceeds that of other state-of-the-art methods, highlighting the effectiveness of the RESFA-based approach in the field of rolling bearing RUL prediction.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Xinliang & Zhang, Wan & Ding, Yu & Cai, Jun & Yan, Xiaoan, 2025. "Rolling bearing degradation stage division and RUL prediction based on recursive exponential slow feature analysis and Bi-LSTM model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:259:y:2025:i:c:s0951832025001267
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2025.110923
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhang, Jiusi & Li, Xiang & Tian, Jilun & Luo, Hao & Yin, Shen, 2023. "An integrated multi-head dual sparse self-attention network for remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    2. Yan, Jianhai & He, Zhen & He, Shuguang, 2023. "Multitask learning of health state assessment and remaining useful life prediction for sensor-equipped machines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    3. Ding, Wanmeng & Li, Jimeng & Mao, Weilin & Meng, Zong & Shen, Zhongjie, 2023. "Rolling bearing remaining useful life prediction based on dilated causal convolutional DenseNet and an exponential model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    4. Gao, Pengjie & Wang, Junliang & Shi, Ziqi & Ming, Weiwei & Chen, Ming, 2024. "Long-term temporal attention neural network with adaptive stage division for remaining useful life prediction of rolling bearings," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    5. Chen, Jinglong & Jing, Hongjie & Chang, Yuanhong & Liu, Qian, 2019. "Gated recurrent unit based recurrent neural network for remaining useful life prediction of nonlinear deterioration process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 372-382.
    6. Yu Mo & Qianhui Wu & Xiu Li & Biqing Huang, 2021. "Remaining useful life estimation via transformer encoder enhanced by a gated convolutional unit," Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing, Springer, vol. 32(7), pages 1997-2006, October.
    7. Li, Xiang & Ding, Qian & Sun, Jian-Qiao, 2018. "Remaining useful life estimation in prognostics using deep convolution neural networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 1-11.
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    2. Yin, Chen & Sun, Tongda & Wu, Haolong & Dong, Yining, 2026. "Trustworthy multistep-ahead remaining useful life prediction for rolling bearings with limited data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 267(PB).
    3. Li, Junfa & Sun, Youchao & Liu, Hao & Li, Yulong & Wang, Hao, 2026. "Prediction of remaining useful life and reliability study of aero-engines based on adaptive attention dual-path networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).

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