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An investigation into stochastic claims reserving models and the chain-ladder technique

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  • Verrall, R. J.

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  • Verrall, R. J., 2000. "An investigation into stochastic claims reserving models and the chain-ladder technique," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 91-99, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:insuma:v:26:y:2000:i:1:p:91-99
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. England, Peter & Verrall, Richard, 1999. "Analytic and bootstrap estimates of prediction errors in claims reserving," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 281-293, December.
    2. Mack, Thomas, 1993. "Distribution-free Calculation of the Standard Error of Chain Ladder Reserve Estimates," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 213-225, November.
    3. Verbeek, H. G., 1972. "An approach to the analysis of claims experience in motor liability excess of loss reinsurance," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 6(3), pages 195-202, May.
    4. Renshaw, A.E. & Verrall, R.J., 1998. "A Stochastic Model Underlying the Chain-Ladder Technique," British Actuarial Journal, Cambridge University Press, vol. 4(4), pages 903-923, October.
    5. Taylor, G. C., 1977. "Separation of Inflation and other Effects from the Distribution of Non-Life Insurance Claim Delays," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(1-2), pages 219-230, January.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Leonardo Costa & Adrian Pizzinga, 2020. "State‐space models for predicting IBNR reserve in row‐wise ordered runoff triangles: Calendar year IBNR reserves & tail effects," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 438-448, April.
    2. Eduardo Ramos-P'erez & Pablo J. Alonso-Gonz'alez & Jos'e Javier N'u~nez-Vel'azquez, 2022. "Mack-Net model: Blending Mack's model with Recurrent Neural Networks," Papers 2205.07334, arXiv.org.
    3. Hess, Klaus Th. & Schmidt, Klaus D., 2002. "A comparison of models for the chain-ladder method," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 351-364, December.
    4. Kunkler, Michael, 2006. "Modelling negatives in stochastic reserving models," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 540-555, June.
    5. Verrall, R.J. & England, P.D., 2005. "Incorporating expert opinion into a stochastic model for the chain-ladder technique," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 355-370, October.
    6. Dong, A.X.D. & Chan, J.S.K., 2013. "Bayesian analysis of loss reserving using dynamic models with generalized beta distribution," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(2), pages 355-365.
    7. Eduardo Ramos-P'erez & Pablo J. Alonso-Gonz'alez & Jos'e Javier N'u~nez-Vel'azquez, 2020. "Stochastic reserving with a stacked model based on a hybridized Artificial Neural Network," Papers 2008.07564, arXiv.org.
    8. Paulo J. R. Pinheiro & João Manuel Andrade e Silva & Maria De Lourdes Centeno, 2003. "Bootstrap Methodology in Claim Reserving," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 70(4), pages 701-714, December.
    9. Liivika Tee & Meelis Käärik & Rauno Viin, 2017. "On Comparison of Stochastic Reserving Methods with Bootstrapping," Risks, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-21, January.
    10. Pitselis, Georgios & Grigoriadou, Vasiliki & Badounas, Ioannis, 2015. "Robust loss reserving in a log-linear model," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 14-27.
    11. Benjamin Avanzi & Xingyun Tan & Greg Taylor & Bernard Wong, 2023. "On the evolution of data breach reporting patterns and frequency in the United States: a cross-state analysis," Papers 2310.04786, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    12. Taylor, Greg, 2021. "A special Tweedie sub-family with application to loss reserving prediction error," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(PB), pages 262-288.
    13. Cadogan, Godfrey, 2010. "Forecasting The Pricing Kernel of IBNR Claims Development In Property-Casualty Insurance," MPRA Paper 23235, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    14. Lindholm, Mathias & Verrall, Richard, 2020. "Regression based reserving models and partial information," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 109-124.
    15. Portugal, Luís & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Verrall, Richard, 2021. "Univariate and multivariate claims reserving with Generalized Link Ratios," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 57-67.
    16. Schmidt, Klaus D., 2002. "A note on the overdispersed Poisson family," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 21-25, February.
    17. Verdonck, T. & Debruyne, M., 2011. "The influence of individual claims on the chain-ladder estimates: Analysis and diagnostic tool," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 85-98, January.
    18. Huang, Jinlong & Qiu, Chunjuan & Wu, Xianyi & Zhou, Xian, 2015. "An individual loss reserving model with independent reporting and settlement," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 232-245.
    19. Alicja Wolny-Dominiak, 2016. "The hierarchical generalized linear model and the bootstrap estimator of the error of prediction of loss reserves in a non-life insurance company," Papers 1612.04126, arXiv.org.

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