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Are the rich reaching saturation: Income and fuel price elasticities of car ownership and use

Author

Listed:
  • Berry, Carl
  • Börjesson, Maria

Abstract

We estimate the income and fuel price elasticities of household vehicle kilometres travelled (VKT) and car ownership. To model the VKT, we apply a discrete-continuous model on registrAy micro panel data, covering all Swedish households from 1999 to 2018. We model two joint choices: car ownership and VKT conditional on car ownership, where the elasticity of VKT from these two choices are obtained by using the Two-Part model. We account for unobserved household effects using a correlated random effects specification and take household adjustments into account by including lagged values of fuel prices and income. Our preferred model yields a long-run income elasticity of 0.45 for private VKT, where close to two-thirds of the effect comes from the income elasticity of car ownership. The long-run fuel price elasticity of private VKT is −1.03, with the response in VKT among car owners being larger than the response in car ownership.

Suggested Citation

  • Berry, Carl & Börjesson, Maria, 2026. "Are the rich reaching saturation: Income and fuel price elasticities of car ownership and use," Economics of Transportation, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecotra:v:45:y:2026:i:c:s221201222600002x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecotra.2026.100448
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • R41 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Transportation: Demand, Supply, and Congestion; Travel Time; Safety and Accidents; Transportation Noise
    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning
    • R48 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government Pricing and Policy
    • Q58 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environmental Economics: Government Policy

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