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Time series cross validation: A theoretical result and finite sample performance

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  • Deng, Ai

Abstract

We provide a theoretical result for the time series-based cross validation that sheds light on the choice of validation sample size. We also consider an alternative way to construct validation samples and demonstrate the improved performance in certain situations via simulations.

Suggested Citation

  • Deng, Ai, 2023. "Time series cross validation: A theoretical result and finite sample performance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:233:y:2023:i:c:s0165176523003944
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111369
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