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Predicting child fatalities among less-severe CPS investigations

Author

Listed:
  • Graham, J. Christopher
  • Stepura, Kelly
  • Baumann, Donald J.
  • Kern, Homer

Abstract

This research is focused on the discovery of variables distinguishing Child Protective Services (CPS) maltreatment-related fatality cases from non-fatality CPS cases. Using only the cases that did not initially present severe features, information from CPS investigations prior to a child fatality was compared to information from investigations that did not result in a fatality. Logistic regression was used to distinguish less-severe non-fatality cases from less-severe fatality cases. Findings resulted in three categories of predictive indicators: 1) more actionable and indicative of reduced risk, 2) mostly more actionable and indicative of increased risk, and 3) less actionable and indicative of increased risk. Implications for the field in terms of risk assessment, practices, and training are discussed, as are the implications for future research.

Suggested Citation

  • Graham, J. Christopher & Stepura, Kelly & Baumann, Donald J. & Kern, Homer, 2010. "Predicting child fatalities among less-severe CPS investigations," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 274-280, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:cysrev:v:32:y:2010:i:2:p:274-280
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Anderson, Rosalie & Ambrosino, Robert & Valentine, Deborah & Lauderdale, Michael, 1983. "Child deaths attributed to abuse and neglect: An empirical study," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 75-89.
    2. Sorenson, S.B. & Peterson, J.G., 1994. "Traumatic child death and documented maltreatment history, Los Angeles," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 84(4), pages 623-627.
    3. Baumann, Donald J. & Law, J. Randolph & Sheets, Janess & Reid, Grant & Graham, J. Christopher, 2005. "Evaluating the effectiveness of actuarial risk assessment models," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 465-490, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Baumann, Donald J. & Grigsby, Charles & Sheets, Janess & Reid, Grant & Graham, J. Christopher & Robinson, David & Holoubek, Jason & Farris, James & Jeffries, Victoria & Wang, Eugene, 2011. "Concept guided risk assessment: Promoting prediction and understanding," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 33(9), pages 1648-1657, September.
    2. Jagannathan, Radha & Camasso, Michael J., 2017. "Social outrage and organizational behavior: A national study of child protective service decisions," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 153-163.
    3. Debbie Scott & Victor Siskind, 2016. "Patterns of Injury in Hospitalised One-Year-Old Children: Analysis by Trimester of Age Using Coded Data and Textual Description," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-9, July.

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