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Alternative measure of multifractal content and its application in finance

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  • Grech, Dariusz

Abstract

An alternative method for analysis of multifractal properties of time series is provided. We propose a new kind of measure of multifractality strength which takes into account the behavior of multifractal profile of the generalized Hurst exponent h(q) for all moment orders q and is not limited only to the edge values of moment orders describing the scaling properties of smallest and largest fluctuations of a given signal in multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA). The meaning of this new measure is clarified and its performance is investigated for synthetic multifractal data and also for examples of real signals originating from stock markets. We provide also the interpretation of the alternative method following the scaling law that links together the geometric mean value of properly normalized standard q-fluctuation function F2(q; τ) in MFDFA and the window length τ in which detrending of a signal is performed. We discuss in this context the influence of multifractal bias on the new measure, i.e., the influence of effects which give similar observed features as multiscaling properties however, are not generated by temporal multiscaling autocorrelation in data. It is shown that the proposed alternative measure is robust in some extend to nonstationarity in data. As a result one may avoid problems with interpretation of multifractal profile h(q) encountered in many real nonstationary signals investigated in the standard way.

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  • Grech, Dariusz, 2016. "Alternative measure of multifractal content and its application in finance," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 183-195.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:88:y:2016:i:c:p:183-195
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2016.02.017
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    Cited by:

    1. Stanisław Drożdż & Ludovico Minati & Paweł Oświȩcimka & Marek Stanuszek & Marcin Wa̧torek, 2019. "Signatures of the Crypto-Currency Market Decoupling from the Forex," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-18, July.
    2. Duarte Queirós, Sílvio M. & Anteneodo, Celia, 2016. "Complexity in quantitative finance and economics," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 1-2.
    3. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Tomasz Stanisz & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2020. "Complexity in economic and social systems: cryptocurrency market at around COVID-19," Papers 2009.10030, arXiv.org.
    4. Chen, Feier & Tian, Kang & Ding, Xiaoxu & Miao, Yuqi & Lu, Chunxia, 2016. "Finite-size effect and the components of multifractality in transport economics volatility based on multifractal detrending moving average method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 462(C), pages 1058-1066.
    5. Schadner, Wolfgang, 2022. "U.S. Politics from a multifractal perspective," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    6. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Rafa{l} Kowalski & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Rafa{l} Rak & Robert Gc{e}barowski, 2018. "Dynamical variety of shapes in financial multifractality," Papers 1809.06728, arXiv.org.
    7. Fernández-Martínez, M. & Sánchez-Granero, M.A. & Casado Belmonte, M.P. & Trinidad Segovia, J.E., 2020. "A note on power-law cross-correlated processes," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    8. Cao, Guangxi & Xie, Wenhao, 2021. "The impact of the shutdown policy on the asymmetric interdependence structure and risk transmission of cryptocurrency and China’s financial market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    9. da Silva Filho, Antônio Carlos & Maganini, Natália Diniz & de Almeida, Eduardo Fonseca, 2018. "Multifractal analysis of Bitcoin market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 954-967.
    10. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2019. "Signatures of crypto-currency market decoupling from the Forex," Papers 1906.07834, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    11. Santos, Fábio Sandro dos & Nascimento, Kerolly Kedma Felix do & Jale, Jader da Silva & Stosic, Tatijana & Marinho, Manoel H.N. & Ferreira, Tiago A.E., 2021. "Mixture distribution and multifractal analysis applied to wind speed in the Brazilian Northeast region," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    12. Yan, Ruzhen & Yue, Ding & Chen, Xudong & Wu, Xu, 2020. "Non-linear characterization and trend identification of liquidity in China's new OTC stock market based on multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    13. Wang, Hong-Yong & Wang, Tong-Tong, 2018. "Multifractal analysis of the Chinese stock, bond and fund markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 280-292.
    14. Gu, Danlei & Huang, Jingjing, 2019. "Multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis on high-frequency SZSE in Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 521(C), pages 225-235.
    15. Neelakshi, J. & Rosa, Reinaldo R. & Savio, Siomel & Stephany, Stephan & de Meneses, Francisco C. & Kherani, Esfhan Alam & Muralikrishna, P., 2022. "Multifractal characteristics of the low latitude equatorial ionospheric E–F valley region irregularities," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    16. Robert Gk{e}barowski & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z, 2019. "Detecting correlations and triangular arbitrage opportunities in the Forex by means of multifractal detrended cross-correlations analysis," Papers 1906.07491, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2019.
    17. Maganini, Natália Diniz & Da Silva Filho, Antônio Carlos & Lima, Fabiano Guasti, 2018. "Investigation of multifractality in the Brazilian stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 497(C), pages 258-271.
    18. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Jaros{l}aw Kwapie'n & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2020. "Multiscale characteristics of the emerging global cryptocurrency market," Papers 2010.15403, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    19. Mahjoub, Amal & Attia, Najmeddine, 2022. "A relative vectorial multifractal formalism," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    20. Schadner, Wolfgang, 2021. "On the persistence of market sentiment: A multifractal fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 581(C).

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