IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v154y2022ics0960077921009723.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

“AI-MCMC” for the parametric analysis of the hormonal therapy of cancer

Author

Listed:
  • Wang, Fuzhang
  • Idrees, M
  • Sohail, Ayesha

Abstract

Over the past few decades, there have been significant advances in clinical, experimental, and theoretical frameworks for understanding cancer cells’ complexities and their interactions with the immune system. Breast cancer progression is associated with estrogen signalling and the estrogen receptor (ER), and the majority of human breast cancers originate as estrogen-dependent. Additionally, mounting data indicate that ER signalling is complicated, comprising both coregulatory proteins and extranuclear actions. This paper deals with a mathematical model of the tumour-immune response incorporating anti-tumour cytokines and estrogen. The designed model is formulated based on a detailed phenomenological description of the kinetic theory of tumour, immune system and estrogen. The experimental studies are used to estimate the model’s parameters, and the Lyapunov approach is used to determine the stability of equilibrium points. Monte-Carlo-Markov-Chain (MCMC) methods have been used extensively to deal with the nonlinear fractals, and in the field of artificial intelligence for the evaluation of the parameters. In this manuscript, the sensitivity analysis is conducted to assess the parameters’ uncertainty with the aid of AI-MCMC toolbox. The numerical simulations of the model support the results of clinical studies. Furthermore, we discuss the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of chemotherapy and introduce cellular immunotherapy as treatments for boosting immune cells to fight against tumours. Our findings seem to indicate that the proposed model is a strong candidate for studying the dynamics of estrogen, and it helps in the provision of complex interactions of estrogen with breast tumours and immune cells.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Fuzhang & Idrees, M & Sohail, Ayesha, 2022. "“AI-MCMC” for the parametric analysis of the hormonal therapy of cancer," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:154:y:2022:i:c:s0960077921009723
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111618
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077921009723
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2021.111618?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lamboni, Matieyendou & Monod, Hervé & Makowski, David, 2011. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis to measure global contribution of input factors in dynamic models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(4), pages 450-459.
    2. Judah Folkman & Raghu Kalluri, 2004. "Cancer without disease," Nature, Nature, vol. 427(6977), pages 787-787, February.
    3. S. Razmyan & F. Hosseinzadeh Lotfi, 2012. "An Application of Monte-Carlo-Based Sensitivity Analysis on the Overlap in Discriminant Analysis," Journal of Applied Mathematics, Hindawi, vol. 2012, pages 1-14, November.
    4. Yu, Zhenhua & Arif, Robia & Fahmy, Mohamed Abdelsabour & Sohail, Ayesha, 2021. "Self organizing maps for the parametric analysis of COVID-19 SEIRS delayed model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Francisco A. Buendia-Hernandez & Maria J. Ortiz Bevia & Francisco J. Alvarez-Garcia & Antonio Ruizde Elvira, 2022. "Sensitivity of a Dynamic Model of Air Traffic Emissions to Technological and Environmental Factors," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-17, November.
    2. Heredia, María Belén & Prieur, Clémentine & Eckert, Nicolas, 2022. "Global sensitivity analysis with aggregated Shapley effects, application to avalanche hazard assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    3. Matieyendou Lamboni, 2020. "Uncertainty quantification: a minimum variance unbiased (joint) estimator of the non-normalized Sobol’ indices," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(5), pages 1939-1970, October.
    4. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2022. "Efficient dependency models: Simulating dependent random variables," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 199-217.
    5. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2019. "Multivariate sensitivity analysis: Minimum variance unbiased estimators of the first-order and total-effect covariance matrices," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 67-92.
    6. Cao, Jiaokun & Du, Farong & Ding, Shuiting, 2013. "Global sensitivity analysis for dynamic systems with stochastic input processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 106-117.
    7. Peyman Bahrami & Farzan Sahari Moghaddam & Lesley A. James, 2022. "A Review of Proxy Modeling Highlighting Applications for Reservoir Engineering," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-32, July.
    8. Auder, Benjamin & De Crecy, Agnès & Iooss, Bertrand & Marquès, Michel, 2012. "Screening and metamodeling of computer experiments with functional outputs. Application to thermal–hydraulic computations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 107(C), pages 122-131.
    9. Jung, WoongHee & Taflanidis, Alexandros A., 2023. "Efficient global sensitivity analysis for high-dimensional outputs combining data-driven probability models and dimensionality reduction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    10. Ismael Ahrazem Dfuf & José Manuel Mira McWilliams & María Camino González Fernández, 2019. "Multi-Output Conditional Inference Trees Applied to the Electricity Market: Variable Importance Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, March.
    11. Liu, Yushan & Li, Luyi & Chang, Zeming, 2023. "Efficient Bayesian model updating for dynamic systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    12. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2021. "Derivative-based integral equalities and inequality: A proxy-measure for sensitivity analysis," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 137-161.
    13. Chen, Xin & Molina-Cristóbal, Arturo & Guenov, Marin D. & Riaz, Atif, 2019. "Efficient method for variance-based sensitivity analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 181(C), pages 97-115.
    14. Matieyendou Lamboni, 2018. "Global sensitivity analysis: a generalized, unbiased and optimal estimator of total-effect variance," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 59(1), pages 361-386, March.
    15. Liu, Yushan & Li, Luyi & Zhao, Sihan & Song, Shufang, 2021. "A global surrogate model technique based on principal component analysis and Kriging for uncertainty propagation of dynamic systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    16. Yang, Bo & Yu, Zhenhua & Cai, Yuanli, 2022. "The impact of vaccination on the spread of COVID-19: Studying by a mathematical model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 590(C).
    17. Soha Saad & Florence Ossart & Jean Bigeon & Etienne Sourdille & Harold Gance, 2021. "Global Sensitivity Analysis Applied to Train Traffic Rescheduling: A Comparative Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-29, October.
    18. Ayesha Sohail, 2023. "Genetic Algorithms in the Fields of Artificial Intelligence and Data Sciences," Annals of Data Science, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 1007-1018, August.
    19. Lamboni, Matieyendou, 2022. "Weak derivative-based expansion of functions: ANOVA and some inequalities," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 691-718.
    20. Jeremy Rohmer, 2014. "Dynamic sensitivity analysis of long-running landslide models through basis set expansion and meta-modelling," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(1), pages 5-22, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:154:y:2022:i:c:s0960077921009723. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.