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Optimal control of a fractional order epidemic model with application to human respiratory syncytial virus infection

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  • Rosa, Silvério
  • Torres, Delfim F.M.

Abstract

A human respiratory syncytial virus surveillance system was implemented in Florida in 1999, to support clinical decision-making for prophylaxis of premature newborns. Recently, a local periodic SEIRS mathematical model was proposed in [Stat. Optim. Inf. Comput. 6 (2018), no. 1, 139–149] to describe real data collected by Florida’s system. In contrast, here we propose a non-local fractional (non-integer) order model. A fractional optimal control problem is then formulated and solved, having treatment as the control. Finally, a cost-effectiveness analysis is carried out to evaluate the cost and the effectiveness of proposed control measures during the intervention period, showing the superiority of obtained results with respect to previous ones.

Suggested Citation

  • Rosa, Silvério & Torres, Delfim F.M., 2018. "Optimal control of a fractional order epidemic model with application to human respiratory syncytial virus infection," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 142-149.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:117:y:2018:i:c:p:142-149
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2018.10.021
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Agarwal, P. & El-Sayed, A.A., 2018. "Non-standard finite difference and Chebyshev collocation methods for solving fractional diffusion equation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 500(C), pages 40-49.
    2. Amar Debbouche & Juan J. Nieto & Delfim F. M. Torres, 2017. "Optimal Solutions to Relaxation in Multiple Control Problems of Sobolev Type with Nonlocal Nonlinear Fractional Differential Equations," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 174(1), pages 7-31, July.
    3. Salman Jahanshahi & Delfim F. M. Torres, 2017. "A Simple Accurate Method for Solving Fractional Variational and Optimal Control Problems," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 174(1), pages 156-175, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Silvério Rosa & Delfim F. M. Torres, 2023. "Numerical Fractional Optimal Control of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infection in Octave/MATLAB," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-20, March.
    2. Lee, Chaeyoung & Li, Yibao & Kim, Junseok, 2020. "The susceptible-unidentified infected-confirmed (SUC) epidemic model for estimating unidentified infected population for COVID-19," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    3. Silva, Cristiana J. & Torres, Delfim F.M., 2019. "Stability of a fractional HIV/AIDS model," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 180-190.
    4. Ali, Hegagi Mohamed & Ameen, Ismail Gad, 2020. "Save the pine forests of wilt disease using a fractional optimal control strategy," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    5. He, Sha & Tang, Sanyi & Zhang, Qimin & Rong, Libin & Cheke, Robert A., 2023. "Modelling optimal control of air pollution to reduce respiratory diseases," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 458(C).
    6. Berhe, Hailay Weldegiorgis, 2020. "Optimal Control Strategies and Cost-effectiveness Analysis Applied to Real Data of Cholera Outbreak in Ethiopia’s Oromia Region," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Yusuf, Abdullahi & Tasiu Mustapha, Umar & Abdulkadir Sulaiman, Tukur & Hincal, Evren & Bayram, Mustafa, 2021. "Modeling the effect of horizontal and vertical transmissions of HIV infection with Caputo fractional derivative," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    8. Jajarmi, Amin & Yusuf, Abdullahi & Baleanu, Dumitru & Inc, Mustafa, 2020. "A new fractional HRSV model and its optimal control: A non-singular operator approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 547(C).
    9. Baleanu, Dumitru & Hasanabadi, Manijeh & Mahmoudzadeh Vaziri, Asadollah & Jajarmi, Amin, 2023. "A new intervention strategy for an HIV/AIDS transmission by a general fractional modeling and an optimal control approach," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    10. Xu, Changjin & Liu, Zixin & Pang, Yicheng & Akgül, Ali & Baleanu, Dumitru, 2022. "Dynamics of HIV-TB coinfection model using classical and Caputo piecewise operator: A dynamic approach with real data from South-East Asia, European and American regions," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 165(P2).
    11. Silvério Rosa & Faïçal Ndaïrou, 2024. "Optimal Control Applied to Piecewise-Fractional Ebola Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-14, March.
    12. Boukhouima, Adnane & Hattaf, Khalid & Lotfi, El Mehdi & Mahrouf, Marouane & Torres, Delfim F.M. & Yousfi, Noura, 2020. "Lyapunov functions for fractional-order systems in biology: Methods and applications," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    13. Sharbayta, Sileshi Sintayehu & Buonomo, Bruno & d'Onofrio, Alberto & Abdi, Tadesse, 2022. "‘Period doubling’ induced by optimal control in a behavioral SIR epidemic model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).

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