IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v158y2015icp378-389.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling industrial loads in non-residential buildings

Author

Listed:
  • Vaghefi, A.
  • Farzan, Farbod
  • Jafari, Mohsen A.

Abstract

Industrial loads in non-residential buildings have significantly contributed in total energy use throughout the world. This paper aims to develop a data-driven risk-based framework to predict and optimally control industrial loads in non-residential buildings. In the proposed framework, first, a set of predictive analytics tools are employed to identify the patterns of industrial loads over time. This also includes a high-dimensional clustering model to allocate industrial load profiles into smaller groups with less variability and same patterns. Once the patterns of industrial loads are identified, then a classification model is implemented to estimate the best class that matches with any new load profiles. Ultimately, the proposed framework provides a risk-based model to calculate and evaluate the total risk of energy decisions for the next day. This is coupled with a utility function structure to help decision makers to take best demand-side actions. The efficiency of the proposed model is investigated through a real world use case.

Suggested Citation

  • Vaghefi, A. & Farzan, Farbod & Jafari, Mohsen A., 2015. "Modeling industrial loads in non-residential buildings," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 378-389.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:158:y:2015:i:c:p:378-389
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.08.077
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261915010132
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.08.077?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bouveyron, Charles & Brunet-Saumard, Camille, 2014. "Model-based clustering of high-dimensional data: A review," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 52-78.
    2. Farzan, Farbod & Jafari, Mohsen A. & Gong, Jie & Farzan, Farnaz & Stryker, Andrew, 2015. "A multi-scale adaptive model of residential energy demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 258-273.
    3. Erdinc, Ozan, 2014. "Economic impacts of small-scale own generating and storage units, and electric vehicles under different demand response strategies for smart households," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 142-150.
    4. Alan Agresti, 2014. "Two Bayesian/frequentist challenges for categorical data analyses," METRON, Springer;Sapienza Università di Roma, vol. 72(2), pages 125-132, August.
    5. Ashok, S. & Banerjee, R., 2000. "Load-management applications for the industrial sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(2), pages 105-111, June.
    6. Bouveyron, C. & Girard, S. & Schmid, C., 2007. "High-dimensional data clustering," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 502-519, September.
    7. Bergé, Laurent & Bouveyron, Charles & Girard, Stéphane, 2012. "HDclassif: An R Package for Model-Based Clustering and Discriminant Analysis of High-Dimensional Data," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 46(i06).
    8. Joost M. E. Pennings & Ale Smidts, 2003. "The Shape of Utility Functions and Organizational Behavior," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 49(9), pages 1251-1263, September.
    9. Wang, Xiaonan & Palazoglu, Ahmet & El-Farra, Nael H., 2015. "Operational optimization and demand response of hybrid renewable energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 324-335.
    10. Bianco, Vincenzo & Manca, Oronzio & Nardini, Sergio & Minea, Alina A., 2010. "Analysis and forecasting of nonresidential electricity consumption in Romania," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(11), pages 3584-3590, November.
    11. Vaghefi, A. & Jafari, M.A. & Bisse, Emmanuel & Lu, Y. & Brouwer, J., 2014. "Modeling and forecasting of cooling and electricity load demand," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 186-196.
    12. Zhao, Jiayun & Kucuksari, Sadik & Mazhari, Esfandyar & Son, Young-Jun, 2013. "Integrated analysis of high-penetration PV and PHEV with energy storage and demand response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 35-51.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gourlis, Georgios & Kovacic, Iva, 2016. "A study on building performance analysis for energy retrofit of existing industrial facilities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 1389-1399.
    2. Alhamwi, Alaa & Medjroubi, Wided & Vogt, Thomas & Agert, Carsten, 2018. "Modelling urban energy requirements using open source data and models," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C), pages 1100-1108.
    3. Brinks, Pascal & Kornadt, Oliver & Oly, René, 2016. "Development of concepts for cost-optimal nearly zero-energy buildings for the industrial steel building sector," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 343-354.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Carlo Cavicchia & Maurizio Vichi & Giorgia Zaccaria, 2022. "Gaussian mixture model with an extended ultrametric covariance structure," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 16(2), pages 399-427, June.
    2. Laura Anderlucci & Francesca Fortunato & Angela Montanari, 2022. "High-Dimensional Clustering via Random Projections," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 39(1), pages 191-216, March.
    3. Alessandro Casa & Andrea Cappozzo & Michael Fop, 2022. "Group-Wise Shrinkage Estimation in Penalized Model-Based Clustering," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 39(3), pages 648-674, November.
    4. Ju, Liwei & Tan, Zhongfu & Yuan, Jinyun & Tan, Qingkun & Li, Huanhuan & Dong, Fugui, 2016. "A bi-level stochastic scheduling optimization model for a virtual power plant connected to a wind–photovoltaic–energy storage system considering the uncertainty and demand response," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 184-199.
    5. Zou, Wenke & Sun, Yongjun & Gao, Dian-ce & Zhang, Xu & Liu, Junyao, 2023. "A review on integration of surging plug-in electric vehicles charging in energy-flexible buildings: Impacts analysis, collaborative management technologies, and future perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
    6. Ge, Shaoyun & Li, Jifeng & He, Xingtang & Liu, Hong, 2021. "Joint energy market design for local integrated energy system service procurement considering demand flexibility," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
    7. Andrews, Jeffrey L., 2018. "Addressing overfitting and underfitting in Gaussian model-based clustering," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 160-171.
    8. Kim, Nam-Hwui & Browne, Ryan P., 2021. "In the pursuit of sparseness: A new rank-preserving penalty for a finite mixture of factor analyzers," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    9. Gudmunds, D. & Nyholm, E. & Taljegard, M. & Odenberger, M., 2020. "Self-consumption and self-sufficiency for household solar producers when introducing an electric vehicle," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 1200-1215.
    10. Wu, Zhou & Tazvinga, Henerica & Xia, Xiaohua, 2015. "Demand side management of photovoltaic-battery hybrid system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 294-304.
    11. Alex Sharp & Glen Chalatov & Ryan P. Browne, 2023. "A dual subspace parsimonious mixture of matrix normal distributions," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 17(3), pages 801-822, September.
    12. Khan, Agha Salman M. & Verzijlbergh, Remco A. & Sakinci, Ozgur Can & De Vries, Laurens J., 2018. "How do demand response and electrical energy storage affect (the need for) a capacity market?," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C), pages 39-62.
    13. M. P. B. Gallaugher & C. Biernacki & P. D. McNicholas, 2023. "Parameter-wise co-clustering for high-dimensional data," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 38(3), pages 1597-1619, September.
    14. Tyralis, Hristos & Karakatsanis, Georgios & Tzouka, Katerina & Mamassis, Nikos, 2017. "Exploratory data analysis of the electrical energy demand in the time domain in Greece," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 134(C), pages 902-918.
    15. Cristina Tortora & Paul D. McNicholas & Ryan P. Browne, 2016. "A mixture of generalized hyperbolic factor analyzers," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 10(4), pages 423-440, December.
    16. Neves, Diana & Pina, André & Silva, Carlos A., 2015. "Demand response modeling: A comparison between tools," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 288-297.
    17. Julien Jacques & Cristian Preda, 2014. "Functional data clustering: a survey," Advances in Data Analysis and Classification, Springer;German Classification Society - Gesellschaft für Klassifikation (GfKl);Japanese Classification Society (JCS);Classification and Data Analysis Group of the Italian Statistical Society (CLADAG);International Federation of Classification Societies (IFCS), vol. 8(3), pages 231-255, September.
    18. Stötzer, Martin & Hauer, Ines & Richter, Marc & Styczynski, Zbigniew A., 2015. "Potential of demand side integration to maximize use of renewable energy sources in Germany," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 146(C), pages 344-352.
    19. Li, Xin & Chen, Hsing Hung & Tao, Xiangnan, 2016. "Pricing and capacity allocation in renewable energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 1097-1105.
    20. Calò, Daniela G. & Montanari, Angela & Viroli, Cinzia, 2014. "A hierarchical modeling approach for clustering probability density functions," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 79-91.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:158:y:2015:i:c:p:378-389. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.