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Forward Exchange, Futures Trading, and Spot Price Variability: A General Equilibrium Approach

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  • Weller, Paul
  • Yano, Makoto

Abstract

The authors investigate the effect of opening a forward or futures market on spot price or real exchange rate variab ility in a two-agent, two-good, two-state, general-equilibrium model. This is shown to depend upon such familiar parameters as substitutio n elasticities, marginal propensities to consume, and degress of risk aversion. The analysis highlights the importance of the income trans fer, which occurs as a result of capital gains and losses in the forw ard market. The authors find some presumption in favor of the view th at opening a forward market reduces spot price variability. The presu mption is strengthened the less risk averse are agents. Copyright 1987 by The Econometric Society.

Suggested Citation

  • Weller, Paul & Yano, Makoto, 1987. "Forward Exchange, Futures Trading, and Spot Price Variability: A General Equilibrium Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(6), pages 1433-1450, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:ecm:emetrp:v:55:y:1987:i:6:p:1433-50
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    Cited by:

    1. Paul Kupiec, 1998. "Margin Requirements, Volatility, and Market Integrity: What Have We Learned Since the Crash?," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 13(3), pages 231-255, June.
    2. Eric W. Bond & Kazumichi Iwasa & Kazuo Nishimura, 2012. "The dynamic Heckscher–Ohlin model: A diagrammatic analysis," International Journal of Economic Theory, The International Society for Economic Theory, vol. 8(2), pages 197-211, June.
    3. Donald Lien & Mei Zhang, 2008. "A Survey of Emerging Derivatives Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 39-69, March.
    4. Dennis, Steven A. & Sim, Ah Boon, 1999. "Share price volatility with the introduction of individual share futures on the Sydney Futures Exchange," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 8(2), pages 153-163, June.
    5. repec:eee:quaeco:v:67:y:2018:i:c:p:79-91 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Donald Lien & Mei Zhang, 2008. "A Survey of Emerging Derivatives Markets," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 39-69, March.
    7. Bartley R. Danielsen & Robert A. Van Ness & Richard S. Warr, 2009. "Single Stock Futures as a Substitute for Short Sales: Evidence from Microstructure Data," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(9-10), pages 1273-1293.

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