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Fractional cointegration between nominal interest rates and inflation: A re-examination of the Fisher relationship in the G7 countries

Author

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  • Valerie Mignon

    () (University of Paris X - Nanterre - THEMA)

  • Sandrine Lardic

    () (University of Paris X - Nanterre - MODEM)

Abstract

According to the Fisher hypothesis, the nominal interest rate is equal to the real interest rate, plus expected inflation. Results concerning the empirical validity of this hypothesis are not unanimous. These contradictions may be due to the fact that the usual concept of cointegration is too restrictive. We thus propose here to refer to the concept of fractional cointegration introduced by Granger (1986). We study the Fisher hypothesis by testing for the existence of a fractional cointegration relationship between nominal interest rates and inflation. Our results suggest that, for a large majority of G7 countries, such a relationship exists.

Suggested Citation

  • Valerie Mignon & Sandrine Lardic, 2003. "Fractional cointegration between nominal interest rates and inflation: A re-examination of the Fisher relationship in the G7 countries," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 3(14), pages 1-10.
  • Handle: RePEc:ebl:ecbull:eb-03c20002
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis A. Gil-Alana, 2017. "Testing the Fisher Hypothesis in the G-7 Countries Using I(d) Techniques," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1667, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    2. Saadet Kasman & Adnan Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2006. "Fisher Hypothesis Revisited: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(6), pages 59-76, December.
    3. Burak Güriş & Yaşar Yaşgül, 2015. "Does the Fisher hypothesis hold for the G7 countries? Evidence from ADL threshold cointegration test," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 49(6), pages 2549-2557, November.
    4. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Carcel, Hector & Gil-Alana, Luis, 2017. "Central bank policy rates: Are they cointegrated?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 116-123.
    5. Saadet Kasman & Adnan Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2006. "Fisher Hypothesis Revisited: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(6), pages 59-76, December.
    6. repec:spr:jecfin:v:41:y:2017:i:2:d:10.1007_s12197-016-9355-9 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Cecilia Maigua & Gekara Mouni, 2016. "Influence of Interest Rates Determinants on the Performance of Commercial Banks in Kenya," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 6(2), pages 121-133, April.
    8. R. Santos Alimi, 2014. "ARDL Bounds Testing Approach to Cointegration: A Re-Examination of Augmented Fisher Hypothesis in an Open Economy," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 2(2), pages 103-114, June.
    9. Saadet Kirbas Kasman & Adnan Kasman & Evrim Turgutlu, 2005. "Fisher Hypothesis Revisited: A Fractional Cointegration Analysis," Discussion Paper Series 05/04, Dokuz Eylül University, Faculty of Business, Department of Economics, revised 23 Nov 2005.
    10. Burcu Kiran, 2013. "A fractional cointegration analysis of Fisher hypothesis: evidence from Turkey," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 1077-1084, February.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables
    • E4 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates

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