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Temporal Causality Between Money and Prices in LDCs and the Error-Correction Approach: New Evidence from India

Author

Listed:
  • Abul M. M. Masih

    (University of New South Wales)

  • Rumi Masih

    (University of Canberra)

Abstract

This paper is an attempt at re-examining the question of causality between money and prices in the context of an Asian developing economy such as India. Consistent with the view of the monetarist but contrary to that of the structuralist, the study based on an improved methodology hitherto untried, tends to suggest that the money supply was the leading variable and price was the lagging variable in the case of India during the period under consideration 1961 through 1990.

Suggested Citation

  • Abul M. M. Masih & Rumi Masih, 1994. "Temporal Causality Between Money and Prices in LDCs and the Error-Correction Approach: New Evidence from India," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 29(1), pages 33-35, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:dse:indecr:v:29:y:1994:i:1:p:33-35
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Diamond, Peter & Fudenberg, Drew, 1989. "Rational Expectations Business Cycles in Search Equilibrium," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 97(3), pages 606-619, June.
    2. Ize, Alain, 1984. "Disequilibrium Theories, Imperfect Competition and Income Distribution: A Fix-Price Analysis," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 36(2), pages 248-258, June.
    3. Frank Hahn, 1978. "On Non-Walrasian Equilibria," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 45(1), pages 1-17.
    4. Goyal, A., 1991. "Demand Supply and Savings Constraints in the Indian Economy," Papers 65, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research-.
    5. Neary, J. P. & Roberts, K. W. S., 1980. "The theory of household behaviour under rationing," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 25-42, January.
    6. Goyal, A., 1992. "The Role of Foreign Aid and the foreign exchange Constraint in Growth : Some Extensions," Papers 70, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research-.
    7. Goyal, Ashima, 1994. "Growth dynamics in a general equilibrium macroeconomic model for India," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 16(3), pages 265-289, June.
    8. Barro, Robert J. & Fischer, Stanley, 1976. "Recent developments in monetary theory," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 133-167, April.
    9. Judd, Kenneth L., 1982. "An alternative to steady-state comparisons in perfect foresight models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 10(1-2), pages 55-59.
    10. Benassy, Jean-Pascal, 1993. "Nonclearing Markets: Microeconomic Concepts and Macroeconomic Applications," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 31(2), pages 732-761, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Masih, Abul M. M. & Masih, Rumi, 1996. "Empirical tests to discern the dynamic causal chain in macroeconomic activity: new evidence from Thailand and Malaysia based on a multivariate cointegration/vector error-correction modeling approach," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 18(5), pages 531-560, October.
    2. Masih, Rumi & Masih, Abul M. M., 1996. "Macroeconomic activity dynamics and Granger causality: New evidence from a small developing economy based on a vector error-correction modelling analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 13(3), pages 407-426, July.
    3. Ansari, M. I., 1996. "Monetary vs. fiscal policy: Some evidence from vector autoregression for India," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 7(4), pages 677-698.
    4. Ansari, M. I. & Ahmed, S. M., 2007. "Does money matter? Evidence from vector error-correction for Mexico," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 41(1), pages 185-202, September.
    5. Indrani Chakraborty, 2001. "Economic reforms, capital inflows and macro economic impact in India," Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum Working Papers 311, Centre for Development Studies, Trivendrum, India.
    6. Indrani Chakraborty, 2007. "Economic Reforms, Capital Inflows and Macro Economic Impact in India," Working Papers id:1064, eSocialSciences.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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