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Hedging with Mispriced Futures

Author

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  • Merrick, John J.

Abstract

This paper analyzes the correspondence between arbitrage sector pricing efficiency and the short-term hedging costs and effectiveness of futures contracts. Reversals of initial contract mispricings by arbitrage sector trading leads to an important mispricing return component in the total return to hedge portfolios. The existence of the mispricing return has implications for initial hedge ratio selection, hedging effectiveness, and expected hedge return. The analysis is used to interpret the hedge ratio guidance and performance of short-term hedges between the Standard and Poor's 500 stock index futures contract and the underlying S&P 500 cash stock index portfolio over the 1982–1986 period.

Suggested Citation

  • Merrick, John J., 1988. "Hedging with Mispriced Futures," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(4), pages 451-464, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:cup:jfinqa:v:23:y:1988:i:04:p:451-464_01
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    Cited by:

    1. Čech, František & Zítek, Michal, 2022. "Marine fuel hedging under the sulfur cap regulations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    2. Lai, Ya-Wen & Lin, Chiou-Fa & Tang, Mei-Ling, 2017. "Mispricing and trader positions in the S&P 500 index futures market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 250-265.
    3. Shashank Bansal & Mohul Mukhopadhyay & Shipra Maurya, 2023. "Strategic drivers for sustainable implementation of carbon trading in India," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(5), pages 4411-4435, May.
    4. Alexander, C. & Barbosa, A., 2008. "Hedging index exchange traded funds," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 326-337, February.
    5. Kapil Gupta & Balwinder Singh, 2007. "Investigating the Pricing Efficiency of Indian Equity Futures Market," Management and Labour Studies, XLRI Jamshedpur, School of Business Management & Human Resources, vol. 32(4), pages 486-512, November.
    6. Blank, Steven C., 1989. "Hedging Objectives, Hedging Markets, And The Relevant Range Of Hedge Ratios," Working Papers 225826, University of California, Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.
    7. Sila Alan, Nazli & Karagozoglu, Ahmet K. & Korkmaz, Sibel, 2016. "Growing pains: The evolution of new stock index futures in emerging markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 1-16.
    8. Bertus, Mark & Godbey, Jonathan & Hinkelmann, Christoph & Mahar, James W., 2008. "Noise, equity prices, and hedging: A new approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 886-902, December.
    9. Merrick, John Jr & Naik, Narayan Y. & Yadav, Pradeep K., 2005. "Strategic trading behavior and price distortion in a manipulated market: anatomy of a squeeze," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1), pages 171-218, July.
    10. Gurmeet Singh, 2017. "Estimating Optimal Hedge Ratio and Hedging Effectiveness in the NSE Index Futures," Jindal Journal of Business Research, , vol. 6(2), pages 108-131, December.
    11. A. Abhyankar & L. S. Copeland & W. Wong, 1999. "LIFFE cycles: intraday evidence from the FTSE-100 Stock Index futures market," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(2), pages 123-139.
    12. Philippe Boveroux & Albert Minguet, 1999. "Selecting hedge ratio maximizing utility or adjusting portfolio's beta," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(5), pages 423-432.

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